2024 Ladder Predictions

[Cmarsh]

Giants to miss the 8.

 

[Angus Young]

Sydney
Carlton
GWS
Geelong
Melbourne
Collingwood
Port
Essendon

 

[Purple7x08_24]

		W	L	D	%
1.	Geelong	18	5	0	136.4%
2.	Sydney	18	5	0	125.2%
3.	Melbourne	16	7	0	119.1%
4.	Port Adelaide	15	8	0	123.7%
5.	Carlton	15	8	0	119.1%
6.	GWS	14	9	0	114.6%
7.	Collingwood	13	9	1	100.2%
8.	Essendon	13	9	1	93.2%
9.	Fremantle	11	12	0	101.5%
10.	Brisbane Lions	11	12	0	92.8%
11.	Adelaide	10	13	0	101.7%
12.	Gold Coast	10	13	0	92.1%
13.	Western Bulldogs	9	14	0	105.0%
14.	St Kilda	9	14	0	99.3%
15.	Hawthorn	9	14	0	86.9%
16.	West Coast	7	16	0	78.4%
17.	Richmond	5	18	0	78.7%
18.	North Melbourne	3	20	0	63.5%

QF1: GEELONG v Port Adelaide
QF2: SYDNEY v Melbourne
EF1: CARLTON v Essendon
EF2: GWS v COLLINGWOOD

SF1: Port Adelaide v CARLTON
SF2: Melbourne v COLLINGWOOD

PF1: GEELONG v Collingwood
PF2: SYDNEY v Carlton

GF: GEELONG v Sydney

OMG I can't see a single scenario where North win 3 games and Richmond 4 more

 

[Worm4]

Indeed.

I loaded up on Collingwood at $4.20 to make the top 4 AFTER their win against Carlton on Thursday night.

Was ridiculous odds.

But you also loaded up on Carlton to finish 16th so I wouldn't be bragging too much

 

[Arr0w]

But you also loaded up on Carlton to finish 16th so I wouldn't be bragging too much

And Saints top 4

 

[WilloTree]

OMG I can't see a single scenario where North win 3 games and Richmond 4 more

Eagles to win 7 is going to be difficult, especially now Yeo is injured again.

 

[My Tilly]

But you also loaded up on Carlton to finish 16th so I wouldn't be bragging too much

You seem to poke fun at other people's predictions and forget some of your own good work

Brisbane
Port Adelaide
Melbourne
Collingwood
Adelaide
Carlton
Fremantle
GWS
St kilda
Gold Coast
Sydney
Geelong
Bulldogs
Richmond
Hawthorn
Essendon
North Melbourne
West Coast

 

[Cuzz09]

Collingwood win today and that's the 8 I reckon.

Coll in
Freo out

Seem like the best 8 teams

On SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[adammania9]

1. Sydney
2. GWS Giants
3. Geelong
4. Collingwood
5. Carlton
6. Essendon
7. Melbourne
8. Port Adelaide

9. Fremantle
10. Brisbane Lions
11. Western Bulldogs
12. Gold Coast
13. Adelaide
14. St Kilda
15. Hawthorn
16. West Coast
17. Richmond
18. north Melbourne

 

[JackFlash]

1. Brisbane
2. GWS
3. Melbourne
4. Adelaide
5. Collingwood
6. Western Bulldogs
7. Geelong
8. Carlton

My top 8 back on October 5th

Now my revised ladder after Round 9

1. Sydney
2. Melbourne
3. Essendon
4. Carlton
5. Collingwood
6. GWS
7. Port Adelaide
8. Geelong

9. Adelaide
10. Western Bulldogs
11. Brisbane
12. Gold Coast
13. Fremantle
14. St.Kilda
15. Hawthorn
16. West Coast
17. Richmond
18. North Melbourne

I goofed on a few of these back in October

 

[HirdyLannister]

1. Brisbane
2. GWS
3. Melbourne
4. Adelaide
5. Collingwood
6. Western Bulldogs
7. Geelong
8. Carlton

My top 8 back on October 5th

Now my revised ladder after Round 9

1. Sydney
2. Melbourne
3. Essendon
4. Carlton
5. Collingwood
6. GWS
7. Port Adelaide
8. Geelong

9. Adelaide
10. Western Bulldogs
11. Brisbane
12. Gold Coast
13. Fremantle
14. St.Kilda
15. Hawthorn
16. West Coast
17. Richmond
18. North Melbourne

I goofed on a few of these back in October

 

[Worm4]

You seem to poke fun at other people's predictions and forget some of your own good work

You seem to poke fun only at Carlton . You sir, belong at the circus with the rest of the clowns

 

[JayJ20]

Collingwood win today and that's the 8 I reckon.

Coll in
Freo out

Seem like the best 8 teams

On SM-S908E using BigFooty.com mobile app

Brisbane with a win today will probably push for a spot. I wouldn't count Bulldogs out too if any of the current 8 slip up.

 

[JackFlash]

The thing about dealing with predicting the future is that, at some point, the future happens and proves you wrong. Back on October 5th last year nobody knows nothing. Now we have seen 9 games at least we know something

 

[My Tilly]

You seem to poke fun only at Carlton . You sir, belong at the circus with the rest of the clowns

And you seem to think your opinion means a bit more than the average footy follower.
You aren't that so best to ignore posters if it irks you that much you feel the need to comment on it.

 

[Worm4]

And you seem to think your opinion means a bit more than the average footy follower.
You aren't that so best to ignore posters if it irks you that much you feel the need to comment on it.

If you actually think Fadge is a serious poster, then you have more problems than I imagine. There are many trolls such as yourself who clearly has a dissent for the Carlton fc. Every single post I might add.

 

[The Prosecutor]

Looking at the fixture, assuming Essendon remains somewhat consistent and other teams remain largely consistent, there really is no excuse for anything less than a top 6 finish.

The remaining fixture for Essendon can be divided into four blocks.

Going 4-1 in block 1 and at least 3-1 in block 3 is pretty realistic and that would have us on 13.5 wins and enough to make the 8 you'd expect, with the remaining games in block 2 & 4 then deciding where within the 8 we sit.

For people hoping for the traditional Essington experience, block 2 of back-to-back-to-back big games at the MCG in late June/early July will be your big hope. If Essendon get out of those three games with strong showings and a win or two then Essendon will be odds on for top 4.


Block 1

North Melbourne
Richmond
Gold Coast (A)
Carlton
Bye
West Coast


Block 2

Geelong
Collingwood
Melbourne


Block 3

Adelaide
St Kilda
Fremantle
Gold Coast


Block 4

Sydney
Brisbane (A)

 

[Millsie69]

Looking at the fixture, assuming Essendon remains somewhat consistent and other teams remain largely consistent, there really is no excuse for anything less than a top 6 finish.

The remaining fixture for Essendon can be divided into four blocks.

Going 4-1 in block 1 and at least 3-1 in block 3 is pretty realistic and that would have us on 13.5 wins and enough to make the 8 you'd expect, with the remaining games in block 2 & 4 then deciding where within the 8 we sit.

For people hoping for the traditional Essington experience, block 2 of back-to-back-to-back big games at the MCG in late June/early July will be your big hope. If Essendon get out of those three games with strong showings and a win or two then Essendon will be odds on for top 4.


Block 1

North Melbourne
Richmond
Gold Coast (A)
Carlton
Bye
West Coast


Block 2

Geelong
Collingwood
Melbourne


Block 3

Adelaide
St Kilda
Fremantle
Gold Coast


Block 4

Sydney
Brisbane (A)

Only two games outside of Melbourne for the rest of the year is insane

 

[The Prosecutor]

Only two games outside of Melbourne for the rest of the year is insane

In fairness, that's because we've already played 4 interstate games.

This week will our first back-to-back game in Melbourne for the season.

 

[Don Won]

Only two games outside of Melbourne for the rest of the year is insane

Yep. It’s why most of us had us likely to be 2 w 6l at this stage

 

[Blackhawk42]

Hopefully we see some changes near the top, because it's tough viewing seeing our 3 biggest rivals of the past 40 years sitting in 1st, 2nd and 3rd.

 

[RUNVS]

Hopefully we see some changes near the top, because it's tough viewing seeing our 3 biggest rivals of the past 40 years sitting in 1st, 2nd and 3rd.

You consider us a rival, I'm flattered

 

[PJays]

In fairness, that's because we've already played 4 interstate games.

This week will our first back-to-back game in Melbourne for the season

Essendon and St Kilda have a lot in common

Both "no man's land" clubs for a long time.

Both started this year with a lot of travel and some quality opponents (both played Port, GWS, Collingwood. Saints played Geelong, Ess played Sydney)

Percentages similar (98.3 to 96.0) both teams suffering one belting (Port destroyed Ess, Dogs destroyed Saints).

Saints had an impressive win vs a quality team (Coll). As did Essendon (GWS).

Main difference is Essendon's won/ drawn all their close games while St Kildas lost all theirs. Ess with 3 nail biting wins and a draw all decided at the death, Saints with 4 nail biting losses decided at the death (and a 10 pt loss). Ess sits 6-1-2 and Saints 3-6.

Essendon is the media's fairytale story this week while Ross Lyon is copping it.

Good case study on how the media works, and how one little play here and there can change outcomes and massively influence perceptions.

 

[Hot Scodges]

Why try to predict the ladder at the halfway point of the season to correct the fact that you got it completely wrong at the start of the season only to get it probably wrong again?

 

[Gumby2Hurley]

Why try to predict the ladder at the halfway point of the season to correct the fact that you got it completely wrong at the start of the season only to get it probably wrong again?

because it’s fun?