catempire
Premium Platinum
You’d be surprised at how little the ladder changes after about this stage of the season.
Oppo Camp Non Geelong football (AFL) discussion 2024, Part I
- Thread starter cats_09
- Start date
- Tagged users None
FootyLad0
Club Legend
- Jun 3, 2019
- 1,232
- 1,570
- AFL Club
- Geelong
Top 8 Post Round 6 2023
1) Saints
2) Pies
3) Dees
4) Dons
5) Crows
6) Lions
7) Port
8) Blues
Top 8 after Round 24 pre Finals Games
1) Pies (+1)
2) Lions (+4)
3) Port (+4)
4) Dees (-1)
5) Blues (+3)
6) Saints (-5)
7) Giants (+5)
8) Swans (+2)
Make of that what you will.
- Nov 30, 2000
- 10,484
- 7,190
- AFL Club
- Geelong
- Other Teams
- LUFC/MSRLC/MVFC
Look at Carlton.
Is their win against Brisbane now diminished? What about their late capitulation to the then winless Crows? The fortuitous win against Freo (excluding the free kick controversy)? You can only imagine the response had it been us in their place.
Their win last week was outstanding and deserved the praise it got, but because they're seen as a team on the rise and we're meant to have been on the decline, the discussion is completely different.
cats_09
Otters United
- Jun 21, 2011
- 57,166
- 115,783
- AFL Club
- Geelong
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #4,054
Hasn't it generally been the trend that there's minimal change to the top 8 teams after about round 7 or 8, with maybe just 1 or 2 teams dropping out/jumping in?
Brisbane's top 4 chances are all but over after last night and it's getting harder to see how they even break into the top 8
And while Collingwood is currently 8th, they'll slip down to at least 9th by the end of the round and most likely down to 10th
catempire
Premium Platinum
Most notably, it took only six rounds to lock in six of the eight ultimate finalists.
FootyLad0
Club Legend
- Jun 3, 2019
- 1,232
- 1,570
- AFL Club
- Geelong
Not that it’s guaranteed to happen but as people have said above.
It’s rare to have huge change ups in the ladder. The best teams usually break even at worst or dominate early to cement their spot for the back half of the year. I always had it as about Round 10 where you could lock in the genuine Finals teams but as also mentioned above, I think Round 8 is probably a good spot to dial it in from.
From the bottom 10 the only teams I see really challenging the live ladder 8 spots are Freo and Doggies. Suns have an easy schedule but their form shows they aren’t reliable enough to get the job done.
I think Lions are a bit mentally shot and the Gabba aura isn’t there this year. Teams know they can go up there and if they apply a hint of pressure they’ll capitulate.
It’s rare to have huge change ups in the ladder. The best teams usually break even at worst or dominate early to cement their spot for the back half of the year. I always had it as about Round 10 where you could lock in the genuine Finals teams but as also mentioned above, I think Round 8 is probably a good spot to dial it in from.
From the bottom 10 the only teams I see really challenging the live ladder 8 spots are Freo and Doggies. Suns have an easy schedule but their form shows they aren’t reliable enough to get the job done.
I think Lions are a bit mentally shot and the Gabba aura isn’t there this year. Teams know they can go up there and if they apply a hint of pressure they’ll capitulate.
Vdubs
Hall of Famer
? post flooded Gabba game syndrome-- in any case, glad we have 2 extra days recovery
Probably one or two big sliders in either direction, right? Some minor adjustments within the 8, otherwise. But you probably already want to be knocking on the top 4 door (top 6ish after the conclusion of this weekend?) to end up finishing there, realistically.
Pero es un asssscoooo
- Jan 25, 2008
- 4,751
- 6,189
- AFL Club
- Geelong
- Other Teams
- StL Cards, THFC, South Sydney
Ross the boss on a Friday night 
- Jan 25, 2008
- 4,751
- 6,189
- AFL Club
- Geelong
- Other Teams
- StL Cards, THFC, South Sydney
Never, ever trust a coach who coaches from the bench.
How can they possibly be contributing to the matchups, strategy, tactics of the game from there?
Coaches who coach from the bench are cheerleaders and not coaches.
And yes, I include McRae in that group.
- Jan 25, 2008
- 4,751
- 6,189
- AFL Club
- Geelong
- Other Teams
- StL Cards, THFC, South Sydney
The runners up have the same prep next season as the premiers. How have they performed?
What about coaches who coach from a Cherry Picker ????
Back in the halycon days of the VFA - late 60s early 70s , Harold Martin ( had a fair amount of dirt in the system ) was Captain and Coach of Preston , previous week he got suspended , so what they did at the qtr time and 3 qtr time breaks so he could address his team , they had a Cherry picker outside the playing arena - and he was in the bucket and with the extended arm of that machine , he was over the top of the playing group , but he wasnt on the ground , not making contact with the arena , because he wasnt allowed to because he was suspended , but he gave his address to his players at those breaks
Dont know if he coached Preston to a Premiership tho - ha
catempire
Premium Platinum
2014 RU: Sydney (2015 Semi Final)
2015 RU: West Coast (2016 Elim Final)
2016 RU: Sydney (2017 Semi Final)
2017 RU: Adelaide (2018 12th)
2018 RU: Collingwood (2019 Prelim)
2019 RU: GWS (2020 10th)
2020 RU: Geelong (2021 Prelim)
2021 RU: Western Bulldogs (2022 Elim Final)
2022 RU: Sydney (2023 Elim Final)
2023 RU: Brisbane (2024 12th so far)
catempire
Premium Platinum
So from the pool of Grand Finalists over 10 years they have in the following year:
- Won two flags
- Made three Prelims
- Made five Semis
- Made three Elims
- Missed the eight (or are on track to do so) six times
- Sep 26, 2017
- 27,023
- 44,539
- AFL Club
- Geelong
Interesting statistics and conversations
It's actually exceptionally rare for the two grand finalists to both have really strong seasons the next year (prelim or better), at least over the past couple of decades. Often both somewhat struggle, with the exceptions being when a dynasty side was around.
2022 was terrible and 2023 is looking that way.
2021 (straight sets and missing finals the next season) was also bad.
2020 (prelim thrashing and missing finals the next season) the same.
2019, well Richmond backed it up in a shorter Covid season but GWS didn't.
2018 was just okay with a prelim and semi finalist for 2019.
2017 you had Adelaide fall off a cliff and Richmond make a prelim.
2016 generated a semi finalist and a missing finals team in 2017.
2015 ended up with a straight sets and an elimination final loser for 2016.
2014 did have Hawthorn back up as 2015 premiers but Sydney straight setted.
2013 created the 2014 premier but the other grand finalist also straight setted.
2012 finally a good year! It involved the 2013 premiers and a prelim finalist.
2011 - EF loser and prelim loser.
2010 resulted in a 2011 grand finalist and an EF loser.
2009 finally another good year - resulting in 2010 grand finalist and prelim.
2008: the 2009 premier and a side missing finals.
2007: a 2008 grand finalist and a side missing finals.
2006: 2007 straight sets and a side missing finals.
2005: both played in the grand final the next season!
Pointless research, but somewhat surprising. Making a grand final is certainly not any guarantee a side will back it up with a prelim or better the next season.
DangerHere
Pivotonian
So St Kilda don’t have an ANZAC Guernsey ? Just wearing the original German WW1 colours ?
catempire
Premium Platinum
St Kilda and Western Bulldogs have already wrapped up the inaugural Mr Burns Get Rid of Those Sideburns Cup.
- Dec 11, 2009
- 29,886
- 37,101
- AFL Club
- Geelong
That was a nice transition by Port
- Dec 11, 2009
- 29,886
- 37,101
- AFL Club
- Geelong
Wow, that was poor by St Kilda
DangerHere
Pivotonian
Let’s not forget that they have nothing about ANZAC on their Guernsey, their shorts or anywhere
No funds since signing Ross the Boss.Let’s not forget that they have nothing about ANZAC on their Guernsey, their shorts or anywhere
Similar threads
- Locked
