Brownlow Medal 2010 (Part 1)

[FootyStar#1]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

odds are too low for me, although if he continues his form (which i think he will), he will be taking home the brownlow again this year in my opinion

 

[Brownlow King]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

odds are too low for me, although if he continues his form (which i think he will), he will be taking home the brownlow again this year in my opinion

Tread warily with Gazza as the past 2 winners, Bartel and Cooney, polled terribly in the year after their win. I'm pretty sure that Bartel started 2nd or 3rd favourite ( he had a great year ) the year after he won and he polled very poorly.
With Gazza so short you get good odds on anyone else.

 

[tarky]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Tread warily with Gazza as the past 2 winners, Bartel and Cooney, polled terribly in the year after their win. I'm pretty sure that Bartel started 2nd or 3rd favourite ( he had a great year ) the year after he won and he polled very poorly.
With Gazza so short you get good odds on anyone else.

yeah, it's weird how the umps are harsh on giving out votes to the player that won it previously. Bartel had a better year in 2008 than 2007, yet only polled 10 votes

 

[stuziman]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

yeah, it's weird how the umps are harsh on giving out votes to the player that won it previously. Bartel had a better year in 2008 than 2007, yet only polled 10 votes

I don't mind it...if you can think like an umpire you can win big

most umpires sound like carsen and probablly played like him too

they love political correctness

anyone who sprays them or speaks out against them won't poll

 

[Ghost of Grinter]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Considering Ablett won last yr after missing numerous amount of
games - and also polled well the year before.

I think that its just a matter of staying sound.

Also, Ablett looks to be kicking more goals this year and his
possession count remains up - although probably not as effective.

Cooney has started slow, Boyd has started well - but is now out
for a bit.

Judds missed a few, but will find form - but will he be able to
snatch much needed catch up votes off an in form Murphy, who
is a big show.

Johnny Brown would nearly be leading, but its touch and go with
Browny.

Ablett is flashy, involves his team mates and does kick goals,
he buys and sells Cooney and Bartel.

If Ablett stays sound he wins.

Tab are running scared already.

 

[Notorious_29]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

He is kicking more goals and keeping up his possessions becuase he is resting in the forward line more rather than going to the bench. He had something like 94% TOG on Sunday. Judd is good value at the moment at $13 (Sportingbet) he has a definite 3 votes already and we know how easily the man can poll.

 

[Walshy_The_Goat]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Round 4

West Coast V Essendon:
3. M. Priddis
2. N. Naitanui
1. A. Embley

North Melbourne V Sydney:
3. D. Hannebery
2. A. Goodes
1. D. Bradshaw

Adelaide V Carlton:
3. C. Judd
2. M. Murphy
1. A. Walker

Collingwood V Hawthorn:
3. H. Shaw
2. D. Thomas
1. S. Sidebottom

Brisbane V Western Bulldogs:
3. J. Brennan
2. L. Power
1. M. Rischitelli

Richmond V Melbourne:
3. C. Sylvia
2. B. Moloney
1. J. McDonald

Geelong V Port Adelaide:
3. G. Ablett
2. J. Corey
1. H. Taylor

St. Kilda V Fremantle:
3. N. Dal Santo
2. B. Goddard
1. L. Hayes

 

[bombersaway]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Ok back again for round 5 determined to get some accuracy with these predictions, ive tweaked the system a bit this week so hopefully we can tighten up so far we have 2 games that we can go with here we go

tonight

wbull v ade
15.6 - 1.20 winning ratio's(probabilitys)

WB 90/105 - A 53/75 predicted scoring spread

bulldogs 24 - 40 predicted margin spread

bulldogs 31 predicted margin


syd v wce
28.4 - 3.13 ratios

SY 101/124 - WCE 69/80 scoring spread

sydney 30 - 53 margin spread

sydney 30 predicted margin

the higher the ratio's better chance of winning so far 27/32 right so far with ratios

any late changes to teams alters all of this

just 1 for tonight or 2 accually

tab code 3126 ade60/74 - wbull90/105 $14 works on final scores falling in these brackets

and

3925 a.cooney most goals $41 just a punt but worth the odds few reasons
1 he kicks goals
2 no real big forwards have got hold of rutten or ade for that matter ie: Hall
3 small forwards with 3 or 4 goals has been pretty regular agst the crows deff at $ 41 adds some intrest good luck all sat night games posted tomorrow

 

[tranquilli lace]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Like it mate, reckon Cooney at those odds is a good bet.

 

[maxlad]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

adel vs bullies
3 griffen
2 eagleton
1 giacericusaifdsf

 

[Notorious_29]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

adel vs bullies
3 griffen
2 eagleton
1 giacericusaifdsf

Spelling, notsureifserious.jpg

Swap Eagleton and Gia and theres my votes.

 

[banta]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

agree.
3. Griffen
2. Giansiracusa
1. could be any one of; Cross, Hahn, Hall, Cooney, Johnson, Eagleton
even though gilbee got a lot of it, dont think he penetrated much, mostly cheap touches in the back 50.

 

[bombersaway]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

3 goals out last night ade score was on the money

tonights games

melb v bris
70/90 - 75/100
bris 4 - 12 margin spread
bris 8 points prediction

if brownys out melb look goos especially at the line


port v stk
55/75 - 95/115
30 - 45 margin spread
saints 36 prediction

wouldn't be suprised if the saints blew this one out liike the cats last week

good luck all

 

[TubbsFarquhar]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Round 5
Western Bulldogs V Adelaide:
3. Ryan Griffen
2. Daniel Giansiracusa
1. Nathan Eagleton

Sydney V West Coast:
3. Kieran Jack
2. Ryan O'Keefe
1. Daniel Bradshaw

Melbourne V Brisbane:
3. Jack Trengove
2. Brent Moloney
1. Matthew Bate

Port Adelaide V St. Kilda
3. David Rodan
2. Leigh Montagna
1. Troy Chaplin

Collingwood V Essendon:
3. Scott Pendlebury
2. Sharrod Wellingham
1. Travis Cloke

Hawthorn V North Melbourne:
3. Daniel Wells
2. Lance Franklin
1. Brent Harvey

Fremantle V Richmond:
3. Aaron Sandilands
2. Michael Barlow
1. David Mundy

Carlton V Geelong:
3. Bryce Gibbs
2. Chris Judd
1. Gary Ablett



Leaderboard:
1. Gary Ablett (8)
2. Aaron Sandilands (7)
3. Michael Barlow (7)
4. Jonathon Brown (6)
5. Nick Riewoldt (6)
6. Ben McGlynn (6)
7. Heath Shaw (6)
8. Jared Brennan (6)
9. Ryan Griffen (6)
10. Jimmy Bartel (5)

 

[Notorious_29]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

9 - Ablett
8 - Sandilands
8 - Barlow
6 - Riewoldt
6 - Hodge
6 - Judd
6 - Brennan
6 - Gilbert
5 - Brown
5 - O’Keefe
5 - Harvey

 

[Athomas]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

G Ablett 9
M Barlow 7
A Sandilands 7
J Brown 6
J Brennan 6
C Judd 6
M Pavlich 6
B Harvey 6
B Mcglynn 6
M Rischitelli 5
J McDonald 5
D Wells 5
N Riewoldt 5
L Montagna 5
A Goodes 5
J Mcveigh 5
R Griffen 5

 

[mitchzz]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

8 : Ablett, Barlow

7: Sandilands, Brennan

6: Hodge, Goddard, Rewioldt

5: Judd, Goodes, Brown

 

[AG]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

 

[mitchzz]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

I think only injury can stop Ablett this year.

 

[AhSteveSteve27]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Leaderboard post round 5:

8 - Ablett, Brown
7 - Sandilands, Barlow
6 - Murphy, Bartel, Moloney, Riewoldt, Montagna, O'Keefe
5 - McGlynn, Boyd, Brennan, Wellingham, James McDonald, Judd, Hodge

 

[saint jack]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

I think you're on a good thing

 

[Halli]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

I've reviewed each games votes on my site again. Links and stats for each game are below.

Dogs v Crows
Swans v Eagles
Dees v Lions
Power v Saints
Pies v Bombers
Hawks v Roos
Dockers v Tigers
Blues v Cats

Leaderboard after Round 5

• Michael Barlow 8
• Chris Judd 6
• Gary Ablett 6
• Jonathan Brown 6
• Jared Brennan 6
• Nick Riewoldt 6
• (view more...)

 

[stuziman]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Anyone who didn't have s.black in votes needs to adjust he could even get 2

halli ur votes are spot on as per usual

 

[Brownlow King]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

Anyone who didn't have s.black in votes needs to adjust he could even get 2

halli ur votes are spot on as per usual

I'm a massive fan of S Black and yeah he was very good on Sat night but a 50 point loss means that he could get 1 but 2 would really stretch it.

 

[stuziman]

Re: Brownlow Medal 2010

True 50 points is only reason he won't