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10U - Sydney top 8 - $2.10
10U - Richmond wooden spoon - $2.80

Two 🔒 that have been made available to us due to favourable early-season results
top 8 is highly competitive.. sydney wouldn't want to be relying on a big run to start when Mills/Gulden get back.. questions still remain on their backline and forwards... hardly a lock... BRISBANE, HAWKS, GWS, GEELONG, PIES, GOLD coast look 6 definately in.....

i'd have Freo ahead of sydney right now.. leaves 1 spot for the pack of sydney/adelaide/stkilda/bulldogs and even to a lesser extent essendon/port but they are prob longshots
 
Brayshaw 51.00 at lads for brownlow looks great value if Daicos/Rowell tail off a shade... when his teammate Serong is 12.00... not much of a disparity between them at all to be fair. he also cops the tag less..both likely on 5-6 votes at the moment
Agree with this.

Freo look like they will win enough games for him to contend.

Has history, top 5 in 2022. Once Freo stopped trying to play him as an outside mid/wing role he came home strong with 17 votes in the last 10 games last year.

Not looking like Cripps' year and Daicos hasn't started as strong but we know nick can go on a run that anyone not names Patrick Cripps can't come close to.

I've jumped on $10 top 3 @ tab
 
top 8 is highly competitive.. sydney wouldn't want to be relying on a big run to start when Mills/Gulden get back.. questions still remain on their backline and forwards... hardly a lock... BRISBANE, HAWKS, GWS, GEELONG, PIES, GOLD coast look 6 definately in.....

i'd have Freo ahead of sydney right now.. leaves 1 spot for the pack of sydney/adelaide/stkilda/bulldogs and even to a lesser extent essendon/port but they are prob longshots
Gold Coast have played 1 decent team and only won because of poor umpiring. Not a lock.

GWS, Bris, Haw
Gee, Coll, Freo locks IMO

Ade, Syd, GC fighting for the last 2 spots with the Dogs one game behind them and they can easily pick up an extra win somewhere along the way.

10U - Sydney top 8 - $2.10
10U - Richmond wooden spoon - $2.80

Two 🔒 that have been made available to us due to favourable early-season results

Haven't you seen WC this year? They are putrid and might not win a single game. A WAFL team could beat them.
 
Gold Coast have played 1 decent team and only won because of poor umpiring. Not a lock.

GWS, Bris, Haw
Gee, Coll, Freo locks IMO

Ade, Syd, GC fighting for the last 2 spots with the Dogs one game behind them and they can easily pick up an extra win somewhere along the way.



Haven't you seen WC this year? They are putrid and might not win a single game. A WAFL team could beat them.
Think you might be underestimating Gold Coast my friend.

I think you only say that if you haven't watched them or watch AFL close enough.

They are a very good team. Don't judge the quality of the opposition. Judge their quality of play for me.

Might be a dark-horse to make the Top 4. Might knock over Brisbane in Q-Clash in a fortnight. Might make the big dance come end of this year.
 
On the QLD TAB McCluggage's odds came in but they forgot to move his Place odds for the Brownlow - currently $19 when it should be $12. Apparantly he is ahead of the coaches association votes at the moment.

You could give me $101 odds of McCluggage making place odds and I'd still knock it back. Absolutely 0% chance.
 
Trap Bet of the round. Last weeks BetR promo came through for the Port v Saints game but this one is a trap . I reckon as an incentive it should be better than $2.50. Want at least $4.00 if its a promo. I probably wouldnt be touching even at 4s. Lift your game BetR if your reading this........

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Walsh and Cripps only combined 1 time in their career to clear this line against the Roos.
 

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Gold Coast have played 1 decent team and only won because of poor umpiring. Not a lock.

GWS, Bris, Haw
Gee, Coll, Freo locks IMO

Ade, Syd, GC fighting for the last 2 spots with the Dogs one game behind them and they can easily pick up an extra win somewhere along the way.



Haven't you seen WC this year? They are putrid and might not win a single game. A WAFL team could beat them.
You're high on recency bias.

Richmond were lined at 2.5 wins going into the season, West Coast 5.5.

Richmond similarly started last year respectably, sitting 15th after 5 games with 1 win and a percentage of 79.5, they won 1 game for the rest of the year and finished last with a percentage of 63.4

They've overperformed, West Coast have underperformed; Richmond have no depth either, and will struggle more than any other team as the injuries begin to pile up over what is a long 23 game season.

Melbourne were 2nd (4W-1L) after round 5 last year, after finishing top 4 in the 3 previous seasons - no one would have seen them dropping off like they did at that point.

Carlton were 4th (4W-0L), after having made it to the final 4 the previous year.

Everyone pretty much looks like locks for the top 8/ top 4 when their comfortably sitting there, doesn't mean that's where they end up.
 
Think you might be underestimating Gold Coast my friend.

I think you only say that if you haven't watched them or watch AFL close enough.

They are a very good team. Don't judge the quality of the opposition. Judge their quality of play for me.

Might be a dark-horse to make the Top 4. Might knock over Brisbane in Q-Clash in a fortnight. Might make the big dance come end of this year.
OVERRATED PRETENDERS WHO CAN'T TRAVEL. Some good players but Ben Long is their best forward and if that's the case they're going nowhere.
 
OVERRATED PRETENDERS WHO CAN'T TRAVEL. Some good players but Ben Long is their best forward and if that's the case they're going nowhere.
I just think if your Gold Coast losing last night was a bit of a shock to the system but they won't lose sleep over it. Damien Hardwick in the past mentioned as coach, that he hated playing there.

Also Finals (big matches that count for something) aren't played at Marvel. Didnt watch last nights game but it may have been a bit of a 'letdown' spot with the Q Clash next week.

Playing in the tropical climates of Gold Coast/Darwin and Marvel under the roof are two worlds apart. I say good luck if you look to oppose the Suns this year.
 

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I just think if your Gold Coast losing last night was a bit of a shock to the system but they won't lose sleep over it. Damien Hardwick in the past mentioned as coach, that he hated playing there.

Also Finals (big matches that count for something) aren't played at Marvel. Didnt watch last nights game but it may have been a bit of a 'letdown' spot with the Q Clash next week.

Playing in the tropical climates of Gold Coast/Darwin and Marvel under the roof are two worlds apart. I say good luck if you look to oppose the Suns this year.
Maybe it's you who don't watch enough football or watch them closely enough ;).

They're playing 2 teenage key forwards in Reid and Walter who aren't AFL quality yet and couldn't capitalise on winning the inside 50's by 20 or something. It's going to keep happening. Rogers, Humphrey and Graham are young players who will be more inconsistent as the season wears on. Ainsworth is always inconsistent. Holman is meh. Their top end is good but the bottom half of the 22 isn't a threat to any of the top teams over the whole course of the season.

Also none of the Suns have been in "big matches that count for something" and they are nothing but hype and potential at this point. Get within 4 goals of Brisbane next week and I'll concede that they might sneak into finals, maybe.
 

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