AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 5

[balmainforever]

 

[the_big_sav]

...bang

Great get

 

[Fizza]

Unsure on next game.
Gone
Milkshake 2+, Kako 2+, Petracca 25+
@$16 boosted 365

 

[the_big_sav]

Gone draper and Bryan for goals to continue ruckmen getting goals vs gawn this year

 

[NYRB]

Melbourne v Essendon

Melbourne forward line looks too short on paper for me. Fritsch is out of form and I like the Bombers here. Feel like if goals come tonight for the Dees, its going to be from distance. Look for the midfielders to bob up for goals.

Gone for the midfielders to bob up for 2+ goals, and small stakes on 3+ goals for each.

Viney
2+ Goals: $17 (1u)
3+ Goals: $81 (0.5u)

Oliver
2+ Goals: $21 (1u)

Xavier Duursma

28

Xavier Duursma

Age

24

Ht

186cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.5

5star

K

10.0

4star

HB

8.5

5star

M

5.4

5star

T

2.1

4star

CL

1.6

4star

D

13.0

3star

K

8.8

4star

HB

4.3

3star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.3

3star

CL

0.5

3star

D

16.8

4star

K

8.4

4star

HB

8.4

5star

M

4.8

5star

T

2.0

4star

CL

1.6

4star

:
2+ Goals: $12 (1u)
3+ Goals: $51 (0.5u)

Gawn:
2+ Goals: $9.50 (1u)
3+ Goals: $41 (0.5u)

SGM: Gawn AGS, Caddy 2+ Goals @ $5.00 (2u)
SGM: Oliver AGS, Merrett AGS @ 6.25 (1.5u)
SGM: Oliver AGS, Viney AGS @ 10.50 (1u)
SGM: Oliver AGS, Viney AGS, Gawn AGS @ 23 (0.25u)

Gawn to help out the Dees in the forward line since they look way too short up front.

 

[NYRB]

Live Betting for Anytime Goalscorer bets:

I like Ben Hobbs to score a goal in the 3rd quarter at odds of $6.00. Essendon talls a bit fumbly with the ball, which is leaving alot of ground opportunities for smalls. Already kicked 1 in the 1st quarter.

Goalscorer Bets in the 3rd Quarter:
1u Ben Hobbs at $6.00
1.5u on Menzie at $3.90

Would be keen to have a look-in for Menzie to score a goal in 3rd and 4th qtr at around $15 as a roll-over if there was that opportunity.


Cross-Sport Live Betting Multi
Ben Hobbs AGS in the 2nd Half
Gujarat Titans Over 215.5 Runs in the IPL cricket v LSG

Odds: $6.76 (1u)

 

[NYRB]

Viney
2+ Goals: $17 (1u)
3+ Goals: $81 (0.5u)

Oliver
2+ Goals: $21 (1u)

Xavier Duursma :
2+ Goals: $12 (1u)
3+ Goals: $51 (0.5u)

Gawn:
2+ Goals: $9.50 (1u)
3+ Goals: $41 (0.5u)

SGM: Gawn AGS, Caddy 2+ Goals @ $5.00 (2u)
SGM: Oliver AGS, Merrett AGS @ 6.25 (1.5u)
SGM: Oliver AGS, Viney AGS @ 10.50 (1u)
SGM: Oliver AGS, Viney AGS, Gawn AGS @ 23 (0.25u)

Goalscorer Bets in the 3rd Quarter:
1u Ben Hobbs at $6.00
1.5u on Menzie at $3.90

Would be keen to have a look-in for Menzie to score a goal in 3rd and 4th qtr at around $15 as a roll-over if there was that opportunity.


Cross-Sport Live Betting Multi
Ben Hobbs AGS in the 2nd Half
Gujarat Titans Over 215.5 Runs in the IPL cricket v LSG

Odds: $6.76 (1u)

Lesson learnt. Dont bet on night games involving umpire Eleni Tee.

-14.25u down , in a dour low scoring affair.

Hobbs was $3.70 kick a goal in 2nd half, which came through. But Gujarat stalled and that ends up a losing multi.

 

[demon_fanatic]

I reckon Melbourne is about to give a team a thmping and that team is Essendon. All in

surely now you get why Melbourne prob won't belt a team all year.. i'd even doubt us vs eagles in subi in a few weeks as they get a few players like Waterman back into form/touch, and even anzac eve vs richmond I'd be tipping Richmond.. every goal is such an effort for us

 

[Hellboy101]

Freo -37.5, Serong &Beayshaw30+, Clark 25 @9.5 Tab Touch.
Clark, Matt Johnson, J. Kelly and Sinclair all overs disposals - Pick Em @ Dabble -@12

 

[NYRB]

Jonty Faull listed at 195 cm in the Richmond forward line today. He was one of Richmonds bunch of top-tier draft picks last season. He isnt a Sam Darcy but will get the 3rd best Freo defender tall today. There is some footage of him kicking 5 in the Talent League Prelim Final last year and he looks like he can mark the ball in packs. Some Youtube footage, if unsure about him:



AGS $1.70 (1.5u)
2+ Goals $5.00 (1u)
3+ Goals $15 (0.50u)
4+ Goals $67 (0.25u)

Odds from PointsBet

SGM: Faull 2+ Goals, Serong AGS @ $11.50 (0.75u)

 

[NYRB]

Observation about the venue Barossa yesterday, was players were looking to go for long distance with their kicks , especially with it being windy. Today there are winds at the ground around 10-11km/hr.

Think will see more direct long-kicks going into the forward line.

Added

Dabble Pick Em:
Short Under 6.5 Marks
Brayshaw Under 7 Tackles
Luke Ryan Under 7 Marks
Bolton Under 2 Goals
Treacy Under 7 Marks
Odds: $25.75 (0.375u)

Brayshaw and Nankervis AGS @ $5.10 (1u)


Patrick Voss 5+ Goals @ $30.50 (Bet refund if he kicks 1-4 goals)

 

[the_big_sav]

Where was stringer last week?

 

[NYRB]

Brayshaw Over 110.5 Fantasy Pts
Young Over 90.5 Fantasy Pts
Ryan Over 92.5 Fantasy Pts
Nankervis Over 100.5 Fantasy Pts
Odds: $14.52 (0.50u)

Brayshaw Over 110.5 Fantasy Pts
Young Over 90.5 Fantasy Pts
Ryan Over 92.5 Fantasy Pts
Nankervis Over 100.5 Fantasy Pts
Jordan Clark Over 5.5 Marks
Josh Treacy Over 3 Goals
Odds: $46.80 (0.25u)

AGS $1.70 (1.5u)
2+ Goals $5.00 (1u)
3+ Goals $15 (0.50u)
4+ Goals $67 (0.25u)

Odds from PointsBet

SGM: Faull 2+ Goals, Serong AGS @ $11.50 (0.75u)

-6.125u for Freo v Tigers.

 

[the_big_sav]

Curtis 2.2 bonus bet return
Long 3.2 win
Cameron 0.3 loss
Kako 0.0 loss
Bolton 2.3 bonus bet return
Amiss 0.0 ( did he even play?) loss
Toby green 5.1 win

Now just waiting for watson

 

[the_big_sav]

Hawks over 15 would be a great finish to the week

 

[Kiddbrown]

I wouldn’t be surprised if vindictive little Sam Mitchell has the hawks primed to end Kenny’s career tonight.

Hawks 60+ at $8 is a solid bet I reckon

Having small nibbles at 80+/90/+ and 100+ at $23/$46/$91 just in case

All sb

 

[Areyoufireal]

S Powell-Pepper - 2/3 @ 3.10 / 9 PB

 

[NYRB]

Cross Sport Multi

Josh 'The Hoff' Hazlewood Over 20.5 Performance Points in the IPL for RCB v Rajasthan
Port Adelaide to Win
Odds: $5.82 (1u)

Tackles Multi
Nash Over 6 Tackles
Morrison over 2.5 Tackles
Worpel Over 4 Tackles
Rozee Over 4.5 Tackles
Odds: $ 12 (0.50u)

 

[NYRB]

Live Betting Cross Sport Multi

Port Adelaide v Hawthorn Under 180.5 Pts at Qtr Time
Rajasthan Royals Over 183.5 Runs in the IPL Cricket against RCB

Odds: $3.47 (2u) at Sportsbet

Conditions look a little dewy in Adelaide and Im going to go under here as I think goals will become a bit more of a premium as the game goes on.

 

[ash_1050]

RR currently 162/3 in the cricket.
On RCB @ 1.80.

 

[fpm84]

What was Gunston for 6??

 

[dontlimitme]

What was Gunston for 6??

71

 

[NYRB]

Live Betting Cross Sport Multi

Port Adelaide v Hawthorn Under 180.5 Pts at Qtr Time
Rajasthan Royals Over 183.5 Runs in the IPL Cricket against RCB

Odds: $3.47 (2u) at Sportsbet

Conditions look a little dewy in Adelaide and Im going to go under here as I think goals will become a bit more of a premium as the game goes on.

Josh 'The Hoff' Hazlewood Over 20.5 Performance Points in the IPL for RCB v Rajasthan
Port Adelaide to Win
Odds: $5.82 (1u)

Tackles Multi
Nash Over 6 Tackles
Morrison over 2.5 Tackles
Worpel Over 4 Tackles
Rozee Over 4.5 Tackles
Odds: $ 12 (0.50u)

The Hoff saves my night, but I am figuring why it was classed as a win?

He only got 1 wicket, which is 20 points and didnt get a bat or take a catch.

Im not complaining, a wins a win in my book.

+2.32 units up