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Haley staying in lol, this is awesome, Trump will have to keep burning cash campaigning against her
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Could be likely there is a cohort in the GOP that believes if Donald wins, the party will be lost to the MAGA forever. Having Haley play spoiler increases the chance they may be able to salvage the party long term.Haley mightn't be a serious candidate but as a protest candidate she's actually quite effective, and 40% of Republicans saying no to Trump is probably a bit of a concern for him, and seems reminiscent of Hillary's poor performances against Bernie even after she'd effectively won in 2016.
Not sure how accurate or valid this is once people step into the actual polling booth but up to 60% of Haley voters won't vote TrumpHaley mightn't be a serious candidate but as a protest candidate she's actually quite effective, and 40% of Republicans saying no to Trump is probably a bit of a concern for him, and seems reminiscent of Hillary's poor performances against Bernie even after she'd effectively won in 2016.
Biden might not be popular but trump isn't winning with only 40% of independents and this will continue to go down as main stream america tune into the campaign and he is constantly sitting in a court room
and his "base" is getting lower and lower
Biden might not be popular but trump isn't winning with only 40% of independents and this will continue to go down as main stream america tune into the campaign and he is constantly sitting in a court room
and his "base" is getting lower and lower
The big question is how many of those 40% of independents who prefer Haley to Trump would prefer Biden to Trump... it certainly won't be all and possibly not even most of them.
The bigger question is ultimately how those numbers look in the states that will actually decide the election (Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin along with Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia..... needle on other states has room to move but almost certainly won't move enough to swing over given the strong leans and fact that it's basically a repeat of 2020 so shouldn't expect any large shifts because after all not that much has changed).
Agree with all in bold, the one im most concerned about is Michigan with its huge Palestine population in Detroit.
needs a 150k vote swing to go back to trump, good thing the Local GOP has gone broke there
it all will come down to turn out, any malaise from the Democrats and its over.
the whole world has been waiting for some counter moves.Could be likely there is a cohort in the GOP that believes if Donald wins, the party will be lost to the MAGA forever. Having Haley play spoiler increases the chance they may be able to salvage the party long term.
OoofPop superstar Taylor Swift has urged fans to vote today in her home state of Tennessee, as well as other states and territories.
“I wanted to remind you guys to vote the people who most represent YOU into power. If you haven’t already, make a plan to vote today,’” Swift said in a post on her Instagram account, which has 282 million followers.
In September, when Swift urged fans to register to vote, the nonpartisan, nonprofit organisation she directed them to, Vote.org, reported a surge of more than 35,000 registrations.
Swift publicly endorsed Joe Biden in 2020, but in her post overnight she did not endorse any candidate.
might upset trumpy as young people tend to vote democrats
If that happens then that margin will be even bigger. Trump has only lost voters, if there is a healthy turnout, Biden or whoever SHOULD do very well.Given Haley has 10%-30% of the vote in some states and a high number of those that voted for her say they will not vote for Trump, think he may be in trouble if the Democrats can get their act together and make sure that those that voted for Biden do so again.
Biden cannot afford to lose many votes or for supporters to stay at home as it will nullify Haley supporters that won't vote for Trump.
I just wish Biden would do the right thing & retire. If the democrats had a half decent young ticket they could thrash Trump. Feel like everything is setup for the crazy orange man to win again & God help us all.
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And phillips on the other sideHaley has dropped out.
They don't need a 'great' one though. 'Generic democrat' still thumping Trump in polling.Same could be said for the GOP, if they put up a decent young candidate they’d possibly beat Biden. It’s Trumps party now though, theyve lost control. Ds don’t really have any great young candidates,
Exactly. Just once I'd like to see one of these careerist pollies do the right thing because it's the right thing. Its obvious from afar that people don't want to vote for Biden because he's too old or at least seen that way.They don't need a 'great' one though. 'Generic democrat' still thumping Trump in polling.
Hell of a dice roll Biden is taking here.