Prediction Changes: Round 4 Vs Carlton

[freo_leo29]

can't be dropping Emmett for Erasmus, would make the forward line too slow

We are running with the 3 talls so we need to keep the speed on the ground in the forward line

 

[freo_leo29]

Carlton's midfield has bullied us for the last 8 or so years, hoping with Young and Fyfe in there that we don't get bullied this time around.

They are a confidence team and they have massive confidence against us, they know they can beat us and have continually done so for the last 7/8 years, we are well and truly their bunnies, laughable to think that we arent, it doesn't matter if we could've/should've beaten them within that time, the fact is we lost multiple games to them when we shouldn't have and in doing so have become their bunnies.

 

[Freofalcon]

Bailey Banfield to kick 4…

Tonga Bob just jizzed in his pants.

 

[Randomizor]

Please just beat them. I can’t stand Carlton supporters.

 

[Taylor]

Please just beat them. I can’t stand Carlton supporters.

Tattooed on my heart.


Hopefully Patrick spends the game next to Monique as their family grows. I believe she is due any second now.

 

[Purple Jesus]

I concur with those saying Ras for Emmett, think Erasmus isn’t that slow and his ability to run all day would be huge in the forward line as a pressure option over Emmett at the moment. Cooper in as sub to add spark in the fourth to get us over the line in an arm wrestle. Rest unchanged.

 

[gungho]

If Pearce goes to McKay, who gets Charlie? Lukey Ryan or Draper?

 

[Joao]

If Pearce goes to McKay, who gets Charlie? Lukey Ryan or Draper?

I don't think we can defend him 1v1.

 

[rgauci]

If Pearce goes to McKay, who gets Charlie? Lukey Ryan or Draper?

I think they’ll continually roll them. Keep the opposition mids guessing. Draper, Ryan and Hughes are my guess.

 

[ITCHY EYEBALLS]

Carlton have never won at the Adelaide Oval.

Incorrect…we won the Australian Club Championships there in 1968 and 1970

 

[DaveLister]

Just need McKay to regress to his mean and kick 0.2 with 2 non scoring shots at goal.

Pearce on Curnow

 

[FreoMatt]

Carlton's midfield has bullied us for the last 8 or so years, hoping with Young and Fyfe in there that we don't get bullied this time around.

They are a confidence team and they have massive confidence against us, they know they can beat us and have continually done so for the last 7/8 years, we are well and truly their bunnies, laughable to think that we arent, it doesn't matter if we could've/should've beaten them within that time, the fact is we lost multiple games to them when we shouldn't have and in doing so have become their bunnies.

I reckon being confident of a win is a negative in this comp, if you look at the weekend Melbourne, Essendon, Richmond & Collingwood all went in as underdogs and probably should have all lost if you look at the stats, but their “effort” got them over the line. Over confidence leads to poor effort. Also surprisingly Carlton has lost “clearances” in every game this year, but still won, so I think it’s their forwards who have got them over the line. That gives me more confidence given how our backs are going.


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[s_wd6]

I reckon being confident of a win is a negative in this comp, if you look at the weekend Melbourne, Essendon, Richmond & Collingwood all went in as underdogs and probably should have all lost if you look at the stats, but their “effort” got them over the line. Over confidence leads to poor effort. Also surprisingly Carlton has lost “clearances” in every game this year, but still won, so I think it’s their forwards who have got them over the line. That gives me more confidence given how our backs are going.


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Our defenders won’t even be allowed to touch Curnow without him getting a free kick. Most protected forward out there

 

[greatgatsby]

Incorrect…we won the Australian Club Championships there in 1968 and 1970

I think the famous game was 1972 wasn't it, when that star-studded side was beaten up (literally) by Mal Brown playing for East Perth? That might have been the end of those games.

 

[Diverbelow]

I concur with those saying Ras for Emmett, think Erasmus isn’t that slow and his ability to run all day would be huge in the forward line as a pressure option over Emmett at the moment. Cooper in as sub to add spark in the fourth to get us over the line in an arm wrestle. Rest unchanged.

Cooper will not be sub. He got physically smashed in the peel game. Will be very sore.

 

[Freo Big Fella]

The Emmett discussion is interesting - I rate him, but can we afford to continue running with both him and Switta as low scoring/high pressure forwards?

It's a moot point if he starts converting, but both the Ras and Simpson arguments make sense if he doesn't.

 

[ROGS]

Cooper will not be sub. He got physically smashed in the peel game. Will be very sore.

Correct he was bashed big time but is definately a player with pace and skills, we need to manage him through his first year

Murphy and Delean the same , need another preseason and time in the gym

 

[Taylor]

The Emmett discussion is interesting - I rate him, but can we afford to continue running with both him and Switta as low scoring/high pressure forwards?

It's a moot point if he starts converting, but both the Ras and Simpson arguments make sense if he doesn't.

If it works it doesn't matter what it looks like.

The thing with Emmett that I've noticed is that he tends to take possession of the ball at speed and half a yard behind him but the sticky fingers maintain control of the ball and it goes forward.

Another player might not be able to rescue those handpasses like that, resulting in a turnover or more contest.

If it's pressuring the opposition by working to space, it's doing something. I know ultimately forwards are there to kick goals but it's entirely possible that Banfield and Walters are playing the juicy roles up forward and Emmett is playing the higher role that doesn't get as much lick of the ice cream.

 

[arsesmart]

I reckon being confident of a win is a negative in this comp, if you look at the weekend Melbourne, Essendon, Richmond & Collingwood all went in as underdogs and probably should have all lost if you look at the stats, but their “effort” got them over the line. Over confidence leads to poor effort. Also surprisingly Carlton has lost “clearances” in every game this year, but still won, so I think it’s their forwards who have got them over the line. That gives me more confidence given how our backs are going.


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Confidence has little substance, it can come and go. It's action what does it for you (and builds confidence).

 

[s_wd6]

The thing with Emmett that I've noticed is that he tends to take possession of the ball at speed and half a yard behind him but the sticky fingers maintain control of the ball and it goes forward.

Another player might not be able to rescue those handpasses like that, resulting in a turnover or more contest.

That's exaclty why im so hesitant to pull him out despite his limited impact. He's huge in those link up plays and I don't think any of his replacements can do what he does at full speed.

 

[Polo342]

Feel like Curnow and Mckay are the obvious ones to watch out for in this game. Id also be wary of Weitering and Mggovern. Amiss, Treacy and Taberner will need to bring the heat bigtime

 

[arsesmart]

If Pearce goes to McKay, who gets Charlie? Lukey Ryan or Draper?

System.

 

[FreoGirl]

Only changes should be underwear

 

[FreoGirl]

Cooper will not be sub. He got physically smashed in the peel game. Will be very sore.

That's what we have been able to do well with players like Draper - WCE have had to push their recruits too early. Carlton and Port have big-bodied players.

 

[FreoMatt]

Confidence has little substance, it can come and go. It's action what does it for you (and builds confidence).

I totally disagree this game is 80% in the head and a players attitude is a crucial part of what they do. Being overconfident leads to players not doing the hard things and assuming it will happen or someone else will do it. I was merely responding to a post that someone said Carlton has built confidence from beating us easily in recent years. While that may be good for some it’s a two way street and being overconfident can lead to poor effort. You even mention that action builds confidence! Why does that matter if confidence is irrelevant??


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