The Syrian War

[Saint]

Dude is well educated ..... seems he knows which side his bread is buttered on

 

[Zidane98]

 

[Zidane98]

Very strange. Search & Rescue for downed Assad jet?

 

[Anzacpaul]

Very strange. Search & Rescue for downed Assad jet?

Hasn't it been reported he's been granted asylum by Russia?

 

[The Terrible Thinker]

Whoever gets into power will get a sweet, sweet, sweet cash injection to get this and country running again. Pity it will instantly corrupt those taking power.

 

[Zidane98]

Whoever gets into power will get a sweet, sweet, sweet cash injection to get this and country running again. Pity it will instantly corrupt those taking power.

Or a larger cash injection by Russia to stop it being built. Qatar supplying Europe gas directly rather than via ship would be the final nail in the coffin to Russian natural gas income.

 

[PonsfordMagpie]

Hasn't it been reported he's been granted asylum by Russia?

Yes.

 

[Zidane98]

Whoever gets into power will get a sweet, sweet, sweet cash injection to get this and country running again. Pity it will instantly corrupt those taking power.

there's reports he is in Russia. Yet I can find no pictures / videos of such.


This photo was passed off as Assad in Moscow however it is not:

 

[faible]

NYT reporting Russian state media and two Iranian officals have said Al-Asaad is in Moscow, but haven't been able to independently confirm this.

Also this is another issue that's likely to get worse before it gets better for Syrian people;

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/08/world/syria-war-damascus/eb174db2-589b-5c58-9982-bfc1dddab275?smid=url-share

An Iranian oil tanker bound for Syria abruptly turned around in the Red Sea on Sunday morning, heading back to Iran after reports emerged that the Assad government had fallen, ship tracking data from MarineTraffic shows. The vessel, the Lotus, which came under U.S. sanctions less than a month ago, was carrying about 750,000 barrels of crude oil, according to TankerTrackers.com, which monitors global shipping.

Samir Madani, the site’s co-founder, said that the ship’s sudden reversal could further deepen Syria’s existing fuel shortages. “I guess we can start speaking about Iranian oil going to Syria in the past tense now,” he added.

 

[Zidane98]

NYT reporting Russian state media and two Iranian officals have said Al-Asaad is in Moscow, but haven't been able to independently confirm this.

Also this is another issue that's likely to get worse before it gets better for Syrian people;

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/08/world/syria-war-damascus/eb174db2-589b-5c58-9982-bfc1dddab275?smid=url-share

Who has control of Syrian oil fields now? I see Erdogan has been accused of smuggling Syrian oil via Turkey onto world markets.


Surprised a pipeline hadn't been constructed across Iraqi territory between Iran & Syria.

 

[faible]

Who has control of Syrian oil fields now? I see Erdogan has been accused of smuggling Syrian oil via Turkey onto world markets.


Surprised a pipeline hadn't been constructed across Iraqi territory between Iran & Syria.

Petroleum industry in Syria - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Mostly they appear to be around the Eastern border.

They don't appear to have massive reserves by global standards; ~ 2.5bn barrels is the same amount as somewhere like the UK and Australia (depending which measure you take) who aren't exactly global oil powerhouses.

The US has ~ 74bn, Russia ~80bn, Canada ~170bn, Iran and Iraq both ~ 200bn, Saudi Arabia ~ 267bn and Venezuela a whopping ~300bn (which is why the US keeps stuffing around in there).

Syria as a transport route from the Middle East to Europe is massive though, not surprising Russia doesn't want it stabilised.

 

[Zidane98]

Another thing - Iran now has 750,000 barrels they need a new customer to take. China must be loving this, they'll take it at a knock down price.

 

[Zidane98]

Petroleum industry in Syria - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Mostly they appear to be around the Eastern border.

They don't appear to have massive reserves by global standards; ~ 2.5bn barrels is the same amount as somewhere like the UK and Australia (depending which measure you take) who aren't exactly global oil powerhouses.

The US has ~ 74bn, Russia ~80bn, Canada ~170bn, Iran and Iraq both ~ 200bn, Saudi Arabia ~ 267bn and Venezuela a whopping ~300bn (which is why the US keeps stuffing around in there).

Syria as a transport route from the Middle East to Europe is massive though, not surprising Russia doesn't want it stabilised.

Much of Veneuzela's reserves is heavy crude which requires far more advanced refining techniques at a far higher cost. On paper it has the most but in reality it can't compete with ME oil or even US oil most of the time.

 

[Rob R]

Another thing - Iran now has 750,000 barrels they need a new customer to take. China must be loving this, they'll take it at a knock down price.

They are pretty smart, there is reasoning behind Xis support of Putin, Iran, Hamas.etc - he just wants mayhem to cash join economically and distract from what he is doing to Philipines etc

On SM-A136B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Zidane98]

Seems Putin's play in Syria all long was stopping cheap gas, oil flowing from ME to Europe via Turkey.

Turkey could make a fortune out of this from oil / gas transit.

 

[Saint]

Israel and Russia are bombing the crap out of Syria just days after liberation from a butcher.

Yet Israel and Russia will be the first to complain if the new Syrian regime isn't peaceful.

 

[Zidane98]

Russians are trying to do a deal with the rebels for continued use of Khmemimm airbase & Tartus naval base.


Not a good look for Assad if those who are hosting him are doing deals with his direct enemy. Basically, it appears the Russians have decided there's no need to prop up Assad to keep their bases in Syria.

 

[Zidane98]

Israel and Russia are bombing the crap out of Syria just days after liberation from a butcher.

Yet Israel and Russia will be the first to complain if the new Syrian regime isn't peaceful.

Assad's chemical weapons labs were targeted.


It is concerning who gets there hands on these laboratories. We've seen what Assad did to his own people with chemical weapons helped by the Russians.


I bet Russian bases at Tartus & khmemim are watching this space quite nervously.

 

[faible]

Russians are trying to do a deal with the rebels for continued use of Khmemimm airbase & Tartus naval base.


Not a good look for Assad if those who are hosting him are doing deals with his direct enemy. Basically, it appears the Russians have decided there's no need to prop up Assad to keep their bases in Syria.

Russia aren’t dumb, it’s obvious Assad is done. They didn’t even attempt to help him this time AFAIK. Just let him flee there.

 

[Sarcoidevo]

Putin will schmooze his way back in .... like all strong leaders he is happy to lick anyone's balls .... as long as his balls get licked in return

 

[Visions]

I think Iran will have to write it off as a bad debt...

 

[Zidane98]

I think Iran will have to write it off as a bad debt...

I'm in the credit management industry. Happy to give this debt a crack on a 1% commission basis paid up front.

 

[Not Important]

yeah, sure you do. odd that not even the press pack take you seriously. you pick and choose. you are hypocrites.

 

[Zidane98]

 

[Zidane98]

yeah, sure you do. odd that not even the press pack take you seriously. you pick and choose. you are hypocrites.

ICC can't touch Assad. Syria non ICC member nor has mandated for ICC jurisdiction.


Plus he has fled to non ICC member Russia. Assad would've had an arrest warrant issued a long time ago if the ICC had jurisdiction.