Qld Queensland State Election 2024

[Todman]

Key issues : Youth crime, housing and cost of living

Voting intention​

[edit source]
Legislative Assembly polling

Date	Firm	Sample	Primary vote					2pp vote
			ALP	LNP	GRN	ON	KAP	OTH	ALP	LNP
8–15 July 2024	YouGov[28]	1,019	26%	43%	14%	13%	1%	3%	43%	57%
February – May 2024	RedBridge[29][30]	880	28%	47%	12%	—	—	13%	43%	57%
February – May 2024	Resolve Strategic[31][32]	947	26%	43%	13%	8%	1%	9%	44.5%	55.5%
9–17 April 2024	YouGov[33]	1,092	27%	44%	15%	10%	1%	3%	44%	56%
16 March 2024	The local government elections are held, LNP wins Ipswich West by-election and Labor holds its seat in Inala.
7–13 March 2024	Newspoll[34]	1,037	30%	42%	13%	8%	—	—	46%	54%

 

[Johnny Bananas]

The LNP will win, and then they'll allow 6 year olds to be tried as adults and will apparently improve the functioning of government by sacking half the public servants. I don't believe they've learned anything from the Newman days when that circus clown Jarrod Bleijie is still Deputy Leader.

 

[Todman]

20 % swing in the Northern Territory. NT has a youth crime problem similar to QLD.

 

[Gough]

Good on Miles for calling this out.

Television news ‘addicted to CCTV footage of crime’, Queensland premier Steven Miles says

Premier says government’s work on youth intervention is hard to publicise amid media focus on crime and punishment

www.theguardian.com

 

[Kram]

lol only because it suits him if the problems are hidden.

 

[Ghost Patrol]

20 % swing in the Northern Territory. NT has a youth crime problem similar to QLD.

Can you explain how a reduction in youth crime is a problem?

 

[Todman]

Can you explain how a reduction in youth crime is a problem?

Lies, damn lies and statistics.

 

[Ghost Patrol]

Lies, damn lies and statistics.

Maybe the bad youths turned 18, making them adults?

 

[Todman]

Maybe the bad youths turned 18, making them adults?

Maybe Qld public had no confidence in policing so not reporting crime.

 

[Rob R]

Can you explain how a reduction in youth crime is a problem?

View attachment 2105321

Because when you look at the stats, non violent crime has reduced but violent crime continues to grow. People also have no confidencthat the QLD government will keep the hundreds of extra police currently in hotspots suppressing crime rates there let alone continue to increase police patrols.

All Offences (adult and juvenile) excluding DFV offending

For the reporting period 1 July 2023 to 30 June 2024 compared to 1 July 2022 to 30 June 2023:

The total offences rate decreased by 1.9%

The rate of offences against the person increased by 2.4%

The rate of offences against property decreased by 2.2%

The rate of other offences decreased by 2.5%



On SM-A136B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Ghost Patrol]

Because when you look at the stats, non violent crime has reduced but violent crime continues to grow. People also have no confidencthat the QLD government will keep the hundreds of extra police currently in hotspots suppressing crime rates there let alone continue to increase police patrols.

All Offences (adult and juvenile) excluding DFV offending

For the reporting period 1 July 2023 to 30 June 2024 compared to 1 July 2022 to 30 June 2023:

The total offences rate decreased by 1.9%

The rate of offences against the person increased by 2.4%

The rate of offences against property decreased by 2.2%

The rate of other offences decreased by 2.5%



On SM-A136B using BigFooty.com mobile app

I can see the correlation. More police equals more crime.

 

[Johnny Bananas]

Can you explain how a reduction in youth crime is a problem?

View attachment 2105321

Perception is reality in politics, and the Queensland media have been pushing the youth crime wave angle daily for more than a year now. It doesn't matter what the facts are, Miles has to address the issue or get punished at the polls.

 

[imtall]

I think the Qld State ALP has been pretty good all things considered.

However, federally the alp is on the nose up here in Qld. Lots of people are hurting due to the housing/rental crisis.

 

[Johnny Bananas]

However, federally the alp is on the nose up here in Qld. Lots of people are hurting due to the housing/rental crisis.

They are, but they're also deluded if they think the LNP is going to make it any better. The politicians in both major parties have property portfolios they want to maintain the value of, and they're all good friends with property developers even if they can't directly receive donations from them anymore.

 

[Todman]

They are, but they're also deluded if they think the LNP is going to make it any better. The politicians in both major parties have property portfolios they want to maintain the value of, and they're all good friends with property developers even if they can't directly receive donations from them anymore.

We might be bad but the other guy will be worst. It's not a successful campaign slogan.

 

[imtall]

They are, but they're also deluded if they think the LNP is going to make it any better. The politicians in both major parties have property portfolios they want to maintain the value of, and they're all good friends with property developers even if they can't directly receive donations from them anymore.

So housing prices to the moon and beyond?

 

[Johnny Bananas]

So housing prices to the moon and beyond?

You betcha! The bubble will keep inflating so long as there is demand for it. And demand will keep increasing so long as there is preferential tax treatment for landlords, and high levels of immigration. Supply won't catch up without a huge government home building program (and I mean government directly building homes, not the HAFF which is the government trying to pass the buck to community housing organisations).

 

[imtall]

You betcha! The bubble will keep inflating so long as there is demand for it. And demand will keep increasing so long as there is preferential tax treatment for landlords, and high levels of immigration. Supply won't catch up without a huge government home building program (and I mean government directly building homes, not the HAFF which is the government trying to pass the buck to community housing organisations).

$1 million median value in Brisbane soon?

 

[Todman]

Writs have been issued

 

[Gough]

David Crisafulli announces ‘reset camps’ for youth ‘at risk’ of criminal behaviour

Youth advocates condemn $50m election pledge, likened to former Newman government’s failed bootcamps, as ‘overreach of power’

www.theguardian.com

Re-education camps for kids, that won't be abused at all. Think carefully Queensland.

 

[Boxo004]

David Crisafulli announces ‘reset camps’ for youth ‘at risk’ of criminal behaviour

Youth advocates condemn $50m election pledge, likened to former Newman government’s failed bootcamps, as ‘overreach of power’

www.theguardian.com

Re-education camps for kids, that won't be abused at all. Think carefully Queensland.

Miles is dead in the water mate. He was handed a poisoned chalice by Queen Ana. Will be very ugly

 

[Saint]

David Crisafulli announces ‘reset camps’ for youth ‘at risk’ of criminal behaviour

Youth advocates condemn $50m election pledge, likened to former Newman government’s failed bootcamps, as ‘overreach of power’

www.theguardian.com

Re-education camps for kids, that won't be abused at all. Think carefully Queensland.

They wheel this stuff out every couple of years, start a few, they don't work, there's a scandal, then they close it.

Two years later, they start again as a "trial".

Polling seems neck and neck 2PP, but that's not great for Labor. Good chance of a hung parliament with Greens, Katter and ON likely increasing

 

[Johnny Bananas]

They wheel this stuff out every couple of years, start a few, they don't work, there's a scandal, then they close it.

Two years later, they start again as a "trial".

Polling seems neck and neck 2PP, but that's not great for Labor. Good chance of a hung parliament with Greens, Katter and ON likely increasing

The polling may be even, but that isn't taking geography into account. I doubt Labor retain more than three seats north of Caboolture, and that will ensure the LNP gets a majority.

 

[Boxo004]

The polling may be even, but that isn't taking geography into account. I doubt Labor retain more than three seats north of Caboolture, and that will ensure the LNP gets a majority.

They’ll lose any inner Brisbane seats to the Greens that aren’t already Green. Miles seat seems to be the only safe seat atm.

 

[Johnny Bananas]

They’ll lose any inner Brisbane seats to the Greens that aren’t already Green.

A few months ago I would have agreed with you. But since then, I think it's clear that Miles has accepted he'll lose the election overall, so he's been trying to reduce the number of seats Labor lose to the Greens in inner Brisbane through policies like the 50c public transport fares. I don't think this will be enough to save them in McConnel or Cooper, but it might in Greenslopes, Miller and Stafford

Miles seat seems to be the only safe seat atm.

I don't know about that, the outer suburbs will swing heavily against Labor.