AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 3

[balmainforever]

 

[Suncraze]

Are you worried if King is banned and Wright plays?

I'm hoping King gets off and 2M will get at least one - no way he plays this week

 

[GROTTO]

I'm hoping King gets off and 2M will get at least one - no way he plays this week

 

[bulletride]

The perennial dick tease Paul Curtis' odds too good to ignore again this week on SB

$4.60/$16/$71 for 2-4

 

[X_box_X]

They were 1.01 last year and lost, so going off that, no they shouldn't.

While I agree they shouldn't be $1.01, I'm happy to inform you that they weren't and shouldn't have been $1.01 last year. They were $1.05 with Betfair.

The line opened at +64.5 and closed at +58.5.

So going by that, if you believe the teams are similarly matched to seven months ago, then there may be value for WB at -46.5.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

While I agree they shouldn't be $1.01, I'm happy to inform you that they weren't and shouldn't have been $1.01 last year. They were $1.05 with Betfair.

The line opened at +64.5 and closed at +58.5.

So going by that, if you believe the teams are similarly matched to seven months ago, then there may be value for WB at -46.5.

It closed at -67.5 at most places mate.

And they closed at 1.01 at SB.

 

[kicksome]

I know he's not the biggest goal kickers any more but jesus at these odds I have to have a go.
Jordan degoey.
AGS $2.25 pb
2+ $9- pb
3+ $41 - pb
4+ $125 - b365

Backs against the wall kind of stuff for the pies

 

[dontlimitme]

It closed at -67.5 at most places mate.

And they closed at 1.01 at SB.

View attachment 1939264

feels like a 66.5 point underdog should be longer than 15$ lol

 

[X_box_X]

It closed at -67.5 at most places mate.

And they closed at 1.01 at SB.

View attachment 1939264

Not sure about that.

I got on WCE at +64.5 pts early in the week and covered by taking WB -58.5 w BF before the bounce.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Not sure about that.

I got on WCE at +64.5 pts early in the week and covered by taking WB -58.5 w BF before the bounce.


View attachment 1939279

 

[dontlimitme]

im doing it again. the chances are increasing, surely they are going to play howe up front soon. hopefully bring in dean, keep frampton back and play howe up forward. interestingly in this fixture in round 23 last year howe played up front and kicked 2 goals. Also can cash out full stake before game if final team sheets/he looks to be playing back. also if we all bet it and price comes in crazy the cash out will prob be profit lmao

365 2+ @ 34

JEREMY HOWE

38

Jeremy Howe

Age

34

Ht

190cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.0

4star

K

11.2

4star

HB

5.7

4star

M

6.4

5star

T

2.1

4star

MG

318.1

4star

D

21.5

5star

K

16.5

5star

HB

5.0

3star

M

6.5

5star

T

2.0

3star

MG

433.3

5star

D

15.2

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

6.2

4star

M

6.8

5star

T

1.6

4star

 

[bulletride]

also if we all bet it and price comes in crazy the cash out will prob be profit lmao

Infinite money hack

Ben McKay to replace Peter Wright forward, everyone get on

 

[fpm84]

No analysis whatsoever but Crisp $42 for 2 goals (B365) seems outrageous to me. Kicked two in the grand final, hasn’t started the season well but am expecting the Pies to respond on Thursday (while still tipping Brisbane to win).

 

[Reddd]

Ben Brown

50

Ben Brown

Age

32

Ht

200cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.7

3star

K

7.7

3star

HB

3.0

3star

M

4.8

5star

T

1.2

3star

G

2.2

5star

D

7.9

2star

K

6.3

3star

HB

1.6

1star

M

3.7

4star

T

0.9

2star

G

1.0

4star

D

8.0

2star

K

4.6

2star

HB

3.4

3star

M

4.4

4star

T

1.4

4star

G

1.2

4star

odds too good to pass up

2-4 $3.75/10/34 tab

 

[Rank]

Curtis 2
Fogarty 3 @23.85 PB

Curtis 3,4 @14,51 PB
Fogarty 4,5 @16,55 Bet365

 

[fpm84]

Laird flagging more time at half forward, lots of attention on the Crows’ current midfield mix not working.

Paying $15/91 for 2/3 at B365. Worth a nibble?

 

[eighties]

No analysis whatsoever but Crisp $42 for 2 goals (B365) seems outrageous to me. Kicked two in the grand final, hasn’t started the season well but am expecting the Pies to respond on Thursday (while still tipping Brisbane to win).

Im on.

Crisp 2+
mcluggage 2+
@$161 b365

Happened in granny why not again.

 

[Rank]

Laird flagging more time at half forward, lots of attention on the Crows’ current midfield mix not working.

Paying $15/91 for 2/3 at B365. Worth a nibble?

Rankine to spend more time up the ground? 20 disposals @2.65 SB

 

[Rank]

McInnes 2
Curtis 2
Rankine 20d @38 SB boosted

 

[richskee]

Bobby Hill $11 for 3x goals. Sheesh

 

[Selim]

surprised no ones mentioned this but this round last year is when Cam Rayner went bang and slotted 4 against the pies at the gabba

best i found found him for

2/@3.20 PB
3/@9 PB
4/ @26 SB
5/ @91 TAB Trick

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Ben Brown odds too good to pass up

2-4 $3.75/10/34 tab

I got burned by Ben Brown last week, bigtime.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

After further research I have ascertained a likely win for Adelaide outright, but will play it safe here and bet the line.

2U - Adelaide +12.5, for 5U total.

 

[dontlimitme]

weather doesn't look great for pies/bris game on thursday, wet/humid and at night

 

[HTPunter]

surprised no ones mentioned this but this round last year is when Cam Rayner went bang and slotted 4 against the pies at the gabba

best i found found him for

2/@3.20 PB
3/@9 PB
4/ @26 SB
5/ @91 TAB Trick

Was $401 for 4 & $1000 for 5 I believe last year. Haven’t found odds like that for anyone this year

 

[HTPunter]

Charlie Cameron

23

Charlie Cameron

Age

30

Ht

180cm

Wt

76kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.1

3star

K

8.4

3star

HB

3.7

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

G

1.5

5star

D

9.6

2star

K

7.9

3star

HB

1.7

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.7

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

9.6

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.2

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.2

4star

has 2 bags of 6 in his past 5 games v Pies.
2.5 to start the year, he’s threatened to have a big one without being accurate.