UFC Betting

[NonPhixion]

i like Covington 75+ Significant strikes $1.8 on B365

Covered his last 7 fights, obviously a chance to get Ko'd early but i see it going to the scorecards

 

[Bucking Bronco]

It's rigged

 

[burge13]

Alot of variance there for $4 odds

Garry with a huge step up in competition, Pantoja at 1.57 to win is risky plus adding the stipulation of ITD.

I think all 3 win gun to head but yeah, risky

There's some pretty big underdogs who will cover their lines imo. Salikhov, Menifield, Lipiski, Emmett, Luque.

Underdogs did well

 

[Bucking Bronco]

P/L -2.5U

5U - Semelsberger - $1.80 (365)

 

[burge13]

P/L -2.5U

5U - Semelsberger - $1.80 (365)

Thoughts on Gordon/Flick?

Flick has been awful since he came out of retirement but Gordon has awful TDD

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Thoughts on Gordon/Flick?

Flick has been awful since he came out of retirement but Gordon has awful TDD

I don't have enough of a lean on it to say either guy.

Probably Flick would be my side considering he is a slight dog, and I would probably slightly favour him if anything, but again, my lean isn't anywhere strong enough for my opinion to be worth anything on the fight!

 

[burge13]

I don't have enough of a lean on it to say either guy.

Probably Flick would be my side considering he is a slight dog, and I would probably slightly favour him if anything, but again, my lean isn't anywhere strong enough for my opinion to be worth anything on the fight!

Initially i was strong on Gordon but im glad i cooled on that as it really isn't obvious at all. Either guy could look a million bucks in the matchup despite being crap

 

[Mags98]

Porier opens as underdog....seems crazy to me i will hit 5u

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Fked up taking Semelsberger too early in the week.

2.75U - Nolan/ Motta - fight goes the distance - $8.75 (Neds)

 

[Bucking Bronco]

3.25U - Miller - inside the distance - $2.35 (Neds)

Took it outright at $2.30 about a month ago, but thought it would be $3++ for ITD, so was angling more for that as a tip. Got rooted a bit.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

2.25U - Parlay - $1.79 (Bet Right)

 

[LongBombFromOutside50]

Nolan... Smh

That's the reason why betting on debutants is usually a bad idea

 

[LongBombFromOutside50]

Thoughts on Gordon/Flick?

Flick has been awful since he came out of retirement but Gordon has awful TDD

Both guys are trash and aren't the guys you want to be trusting your money with

 

[burge13]

I might underrate DDP but decent bet on Strickland at 1.80
Curtis at 1.60
Taking a small stab at Woodson at 2.70
Evloev decision if I can find near $2 somewhere. Hoping BF

 

[NonPhixion]

I might underrate DDP but decent bet on Strickland at 1.80
Curtis at 1.60
Taking a small stab at Woodson at 2.70
Evloev decision if I can find near $2 somewhere. Hoping BF

Strickland is looking jaaacked for this fight

 

[burge13]

Strickland is looking jaaacked for this fight

USADA is gone now...

 

[Bucking Bronco]

P/L - -4U

 

[burge13]

I might underrate DDP but decent bet on Strickland at 1.80
Curtis at 1.60
Taking a small stab at Woodson at 2.70
Evloev decision if I can find near $2 somewhere. Hoping BF

Profit here. Haven't seen the fight but read Strickland should have won 3-2? Annoying if so

Kenshiro KO 1.94 on Tuesday night (boxing).

 

[burge13]

Boxing lost

Anyone with me in Dober KO? Moicano chin is suspect, Dober hits like a truck...

 

[burge13]

Urbina 1.55
Muradov 2.50

Dobers odds really starting to entice now. Up to 2.40 and climbing, will wait for KO prop but almost certainly going to have a nibble on him.

Salikhov possibly too. Brown shouldn't be 1.40 over very many UFC rostered fighters

 

[burge13]

Urbina 1.55
Muradov 2.50

Dobers odds really starting to entice now. Up to 2.40 and climbing, will wait for KO prop but almost certainly going to have a nibble on him.

Salikhov possibly too. Brown shouldn't be 1.40 over very many UFC rostered fighters

Bad day here. Loss and a push, Brown won easy and Dober landed some shots but keeps getting taken down.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

-4U

 

[burge13]

Taking a stab on Hermansson - big step up for Joe and 3.30 available around the place. Happy to pay to see if Pyfer is actually any good at world level rather than barely above regional

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Pyfer is wayyy above regional level IMO.

I was slightly alarmed by him saying on JRE that he can't lift one of his arms above chest height due to a previous career-threatening injury, but I still like him as a future title contender, and think he likely sparks Hermansson out in the first 2 rounds.

I think the play for that fight is Pyfer KO, which was $2.40 at Neds last time I checked.

Hermansson should be able to negate Pyfer's path to victory via sub, and Pyfer will also likely be looking to keep the fight standing.

Hermansson is chinny at 35, and Pyfer just broke Ngannou's world punch record, so you'd expect the seas to part, and the logical outcome to occur here really.

 

[burge13]

Not sure what Hermansson expected to achieve standing in front of pyfer getting hit all round. Supposed to be a grappler...