3KZ is Football
🏆 🦍 RZSS Curator of Sticks and Stuff.
- Jun 17, 2008
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- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
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- Fitzroy Football Club
Round 16 - Brisbane Lions v Richmond (GABBA)
Thursday 29th June, 7.20pm
Ladder Positions
3rd Brisbane Lions vs. 12th Richmond
Last Met: 2022 Elimination Final
Brisbane Lions 16.10.106 def Richmond 16.8.104
The Rivalry
Brisbane Lions 11 wins / Richmond 25 wins
Brisbane Bears 8 wins / Richmond 9 wins
Fitzroy 72 wins / Richmond 94 wins
The Prediction
In recent times, games against Richmond have been tense affairs. Since our return to form in 2019, we have played Richmond 8 times and only won 3 games. Our average winning margin in those games was 15 points, compared to an average losing margin of 28.4 points. In amongst all of that were two memorable finals victories and one heartbreaking Qualifying Final loss in 2019. All of this suggests that this should be a close game, but I believe that on Thursday night we are going to not only beat Richmond, but we will beat them soundly.
The Reasoning
Line by line, the Lions have the edge on Richmond. In defense, Richmond are still a formidable unit, with Grimes, Vlastuin, Balta, Broad, Short and Rioli all capable of getting plenty of ball. They have only conceded two more points than our defense this year, despite the fact that they have lost 3 more games than us to date. This points to the big problem that Richmond have had this year, which is their inability to post decent scores. This season Richmond have managed to kick the following final points tallies: 58, 108, 49, 84, 78, 78, 48, 104, 102, 70, 67, 110, 85 and 90. Brisbane on the other hand have finished with: 72, 93, 53, 116, 152, 108, 115, 100, 87, 107, 78, 73, 97 and 84. Simply put, the team that scores the most wins, and I believe that on Thursday, Brisbane is going to score the most. We are currently ranked 3rd for points scored, a mere 21 points from the number one ranking. Eric Hipwood has been in great touch of late and Joe Daniher has been working into some good form, particularly as his set shot kicking looks to have improved. With Daniher leading long up field and Hipwood getting on the lead inside 50, we have started to look like we have a match-winning system with our ‘talls’ that will stand up in September. Cameron Rayner continues to bob up with some telling moments in attack, as does Zac Bailey. Both Charlie Cameron and Lincoln McCarthy are due, and I am expecting both to get amongst the goals. One area we do need to improve is our forward pressure. Looking for a return to form there. Despite the relative strength of their defence, I just can’t see Richmond containing us, particularly when you factor in our midfield.
With Dayne Zorko likely to come back and Lachie Neale, Josh Dunkley and Will Ashcroft teaming beautifully with Oscar McInerney, out of the middle, I cant see Richmond matching us. If Fagan plays Devon Robertson in the centre, I would be even more confident. As for Richmond, Cotchin is a class act, Prestia is dangerous with the ball in hand, Taranto is a disposal machine and Bolton, can turn it on, but I think we have their measure. Nankervis is a big lumbering type ruckman, but he will be no match for McInerney, who is deceptively mobile for his size. Hugh McCluggage was back to his best against St.Kilda and Jarrod Berry seems to have found some form, making a welcome scoreboard contribution in the last couple of weeks. McCluggage and Berry are the ‘icing on the cake’ and I can’t see the likes of McIntosh or Ross containing them.
Then there is our backline, which is a thing of beauty:
FB: Starcevich, Payne, Lester
HB: McKenna, Andrews, Wilmot
Throw Coleman into the mix and we have a defence which will make Richmond’s ailing forward line look ordinary. Harris Andrews is in “All Australian” form and Jack Payne is dominating in the air. Ryan Lester (Back Line General) is intercept marking, spoiling beautifully, and rebounding out of defence with purpose. Brandon Starcevich is the best LOCK DOWN defender in the competition and Conor McKenna, Keidean Coleman, Conor McKenna and Darcy Wilmot turn defence into attack with their rebound run and carry. Against this cohesive defensive unit, Martin, Riewoldt, Baker and the new kids at Richmond don’t stand a chance. Riewoldt in particular, started the season well, but has only scored 9 goals in his last 7 games, with 5 of those coming in the Round 12 clash against GWS, who had decided that they weren’t going to even try to defend that day.
Selection
Don’t expect too many selection changes. I reckon we are going to look like this.
FB: Starcevich, Payne, Lester
HB: McKenna, Andrews, Wilmot
C: McCluggage, Robertson, Berry
HF: Bailey, Daniher, McCarthy
FF: Cameron, Hipwood, Rayner
Fol: McInerney, Neale, Dunkley
Int: Zorko, Ashcroft, Coleman, Fletcher
If Fagan wants to increase the midfield GRUNT – he should include Jarryd Lyons for Jaspa Fletcher perhaps.
The Result
LIONS BY 50+
Breaking News
Tigers lose star mid ahead of crucial Lions clash
From The Archive
Follow the link - Watch on YouTube
Rd.1 1970 Fitzroy too good for Richmond in front of Royal Family.
Match Summary: From the Archives, 1970: Fitzroy’s shock win brings Richmond Tigers back to earth; AFL 2021
Lester Watch
Thursday 29th June, 7.20pm
Ladder Positions
3rd Brisbane Lions vs. 12th Richmond
Last Met: 2022 Elimination Final
Brisbane Lions 16.10.106 def Richmond 16.8.104
The Rivalry
Brisbane Lions 11 wins / Richmond 25 wins
Brisbane Bears 8 wins / Richmond 9 wins
Fitzroy 72 wins / Richmond 94 wins
The Prediction
In recent times, games against Richmond have been tense affairs. Since our return to form in 2019, we have played Richmond 8 times and only won 3 games. Our average winning margin in those games was 15 points, compared to an average losing margin of 28.4 points. In amongst all of that were two memorable finals victories and one heartbreaking Qualifying Final loss in 2019. All of this suggests that this should be a close game, but I believe that on Thursday night we are going to not only beat Richmond, but we will beat them soundly.
The Reasoning
Line by line, the Lions have the edge on Richmond. In defense, Richmond are still a formidable unit, with Grimes, Vlastuin, Balta, Broad, Short and Rioli all capable of getting plenty of ball. They have only conceded two more points than our defense this year, despite the fact that they have lost 3 more games than us to date. This points to the big problem that Richmond have had this year, which is their inability to post decent scores. This season Richmond have managed to kick the following final points tallies: 58, 108, 49, 84, 78, 78, 48, 104, 102, 70, 67, 110, 85 and 90. Brisbane on the other hand have finished with: 72, 93, 53, 116, 152, 108, 115, 100, 87, 107, 78, 73, 97 and 84. Simply put, the team that scores the most wins, and I believe that on Thursday, Brisbane is going to score the most. We are currently ranked 3rd for points scored, a mere 21 points from the number one ranking. Eric Hipwood has been in great touch of late and Joe Daniher has been working into some good form, particularly as his set shot kicking looks to have improved. With Daniher leading long up field and Hipwood getting on the lead inside 50, we have started to look like we have a match-winning system with our ‘talls’ that will stand up in September. Cameron Rayner continues to bob up with some telling moments in attack, as does Zac Bailey. Both Charlie Cameron and Lincoln McCarthy are due, and I am expecting both to get amongst the goals. One area we do need to improve is our forward pressure. Looking for a return to form there. Despite the relative strength of their defence, I just can’t see Richmond containing us, particularly when you factor in our midfield.
With Dayne Zorko likely to come back and Lachie Neale, Josh Dunkley and Will Ashcroft teaming beautifully with Oscar McInerney, out of the middle, I cant see Richmond matching us. If Fagan plays Devon Robertson in the centre, I would be even more confident. As for Richmond, Cotchin is a class act, Prestia is dangerous with the ball in hand, Taranto is a disposal machine and Bolton, can turn it on, but I think we have their measure. Nankervis is a big lumbering type ruckman, but he will be no match for McInerney, who is deceptively mobile for his size. Hugh McCluggage was back to his best against St.Kilda and Jarrod Berry seems to have found some form, making a welcome scoreboard contribution in the last couple of weeks. McCluggage and Berry are the ‘icing on the cake’ and I can’t see the likes of McIntosh or Ross containing them.
Then there is our backline, which is a thing of beauty:
FB: Starcevich, Payne, Lester
HB: McKenna, Andrews, Wilmot
Throw Coleman into the mix and we have a defence which will make Richmond’s ailing forward line look ordinary. Harris Andrews is in “All Australian” form and Jack Payne is dominating in the air. Ryan Lester (Back Line General) is intercept marking, spoiling beautifully, and rebounding out of defence with purpose. Brandon Starcevich is the best LOCK DOWN defender in the competition and Conor McKenna, Keidean Coleman, Conor McKenna and Darcy Wilmot turn defence into attack with their rebound run and carry. Against this cohesive defensive unit, Martin, Riewoldt, Baker and the new kids at Richmond don’t stand a chance. Riewoldt in particular, started the season well, but has only scored 9 goals in his last 7 games, with 5 of those coming in the Round 12 clash against GWS, who had decided that they weren’t going to even try to defend that day.
Selection
Don’t expect too many selection changes. I reckon we are going to look like this.
FB: Starcevich, Payne, Lester
HB: McKenna, Andrews, Wilmot
C: McCluggage, Robertson, Berry
HF: Bailey, Daniher, McCarthy
FF: Cameron, Hipwood, Rayner
Fol: McInerney, Neale, Dunkley
Int: Zorko, Ashcroft, Coleman, Fletcher
If Fagan wants to increase the midfield GRUNT – he should include Jarryd Lyons for Jaspa Fletcher perhaps.
The Result
LIONS BY 50+
Breaking News
Tigers lose star mid ahead of crucial Lions clash
From The Archive
Follow the link - Watch on YouTube
Rd.1 1970 Fitzroy too good for Richmond in front of Royal Family.
Match Summary: From the Archives, 1970: Fitzroy’s shock win brings Richmond Tigers back to earth; AFL 2021
Lester Watch
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