- May 1, 2016
- 29,014
- 56,571
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Moderator
- #851
Hmmm...I'll tell you one area where Cummins is overrated - taking ten-fers and getting big hauls.
That he's never taken more than 10 wickets in a match, and has only done it twice, with a best of 6/23 and 10/62, is slightly disappointing for a bowler of his calibre.
In fairness, he does have to share a lot of wickets, but he isn't the sort of bowler who rips through line-ups with unplayable spells ala Steyn/Johnson/young Rabada.
Johnson and Steyn while they didn't play lone hands didn't have two other bowlers with genuine all time strike rates like Hazlewood and Starc. Steyn was cleanly the pick of the bowlers he played with, and when Rabada came into the SA side was putting up superior numbers and tapered off slightly after injury/age robbed him of a little pace.
Cummins doesn't take the new ball, and both Hazlewood (55.55, 21.75 percent) and Starc (48.35, 22.71) take significant percentages of the wickets every game they play. Lyon too averages 23.18 percent of wickets per innings, and when there's only 10 wickets per innings to take and the bowling's so even (and so good) you're going to struggle to take the 10 fors.
Take this week for example. Before Cummins even brought himself on to bowl Hazlewood, Starc and Lyon had between them taken five wickets. This happens a lot.
I think 10 wicket per innings is a poor way to measure a bowler, and a good way to measure a bowling group. Herath - for example - played in an era of weak bowling for his country, and averages 28.98 percent of wickets per innings. Murali might've played with Vaas for a while, but he averaged 38.55 percent of wickets taken every time he bowled. Hell, even looking at Harbhajan (25.4) and Kumble (29.80) and you can see how weak the bowling around them was.
For the sake of argument, observe the following bowling groups:
Warne (27.33), McGrath (24.93), Gillespie (20.05), Kasprowicz (16.57)
Broad (21.49), Anderson (22.49), Swann (25.05)
Stokes (11.85), Ali (17.48), Broad (21.49), Anderson (22.49)
Ambrose (25.11), Bishop (23.89), Walsh (24.14)
Steyn (27.56), Philander (20.29), Morkel (21.16), Tahir (16.56), Kallis (10.37)
When you have uneven bowling lineups, you tend towards having more dominant bowling performances from the good bowlers you've got. When you have even attacks, bowlers share the limelight and the wickets and you don't see those 10 wicket halls.
... all of that is to say that I don't think you can hold Cummins lack of 10 wicket hauls against him in a comparison against someone like Rabada, who started off a superior bowler but tapered off substantially whilst still remaining an excellent quick.