Been working on a few models for AFL team performance based on psychological factors rather than the standard statistical models. Looking at how teams deal with particular wins or losses, negative external factors (ie Collingwood drug scandal at start of the year), teams looking to have a "week off", impact of factors such as "honesty sessions" and how teams perform under certain pressure situations.
Will post my bets and compare to my other bets based on standard factors such as form, matchups home ground advantage etc to see how it compares.
Will post my bets and compare to my other bets based on standard factors such as form, matchups home ground advantage etc to see how it compares.