Werewolf Werewolf \\ Africa - Survivor

[por_please_ya]

But he's not protecting me. I started the vote on Chappy.

He's protecting the one he doesn't mention.

No I don't think you're his team mate. But you could still be the sk bruncher.

 

[The Filth Wizard]

There are no lurkers left. If you are, in fact, a villager, vote Mister M.

The Village has lost if we do.

If we get rid of the second mafia guy, tonight you target crowy, the SK targets you and crowy correctly get the SK, we can win
If we get rid of the SK,we only have one nightkill and you can get rid of crowy, we're still at best a 50/50 shot of getting the other Mafia guy OR the SK. The SK is killing you if you don't win the challenge.

If we don't lynch the SK you lose. If we lynch the SK we probably lose.

Vote Mister M

Run your math again.

 

[eth-dog]

True enough.

Because it benefits him more than us. Killing the SK means he can get rid of our nightkill.

 

[Hoos]

No I don't think you're his team mate. But you could still be the sk bruncher.

Of course. As could 3KZ or Mr M.

Mr M falls into your lurker theory too 3KZ is Football.

 

[por_please_ya]

SK kills: MannumPower, jmoo wan, MWPP, Barrybran

 

[The Filth Wizard]

SK kills: MannumPower, jmoo wan, MWPP, Barrybran

Somebody has a subconscious need to target people with double letters in their name.

 

[Hoos]

Putting a vote on Mr M please, akkaps.

At least until the immunity challenge. Then Filthy will probably be the vote.

 

[por_please_ya]

Hoos and 3kz have double letters in their names lol

 

[eth-dog]

Run your math again.

Scenario 1: We lynch the SK. That leaves 2x mafia (one of which we don't know). If you win the challenge (which you should) crowy has a 50/50 shot at getting the other hitman whilst you kill crowy. If we get it wrong, you win. If we get it right, you're still a challenge beast. If you lose the challenge you're still taking out crowy and then it's 1 mafia, 1 flog and 1 villager, which means Bastyy has a 50/50 shot of winning as if he doesn't do it right the mafia wins.
Scenario 2: We accidentally lynch the last villager. We lose as you take out crowy.
Scenario 3: We lynch the mafia. We get a 50/50 shot at killing the SK. SK kills you. You kill crowy. We win if we get it right, lose if we don't.

Either way, we're a 50/50 shot at best. It's pretty clear that S1 is the best for you, so you want that.

 

[Bastyy]

Mister M please akkaps

 

[The Filth Wizard]

Hoos and 3kz have double letters in their names lol

Granted. We've only seered one as a villager though.

 

[eth-dog]

Putting a vote on Mr M please, akkaps.

At least until the immunity challenge. Then Filthy will probably be the vote.

Can't vote Filthy.

 

[Hoos]

Hoos and 3kz have double letters in their names lol

Lol!

 

[Hoos]

Can't vote Filthy.

Doesn't he have to win today's immunity challenge before we can't vote for him?

 

[The Filth Wizard]

Scenario 1: We lynch the SK. That leaves 2x mafia (one of which we don't know). If you win the challenge (which you should) crowy has a 50/50 shot at getting the other hitman whilst you kill crowy. If we get it wrong, you win. If we get it right, you're still a challenge beast. If you lose the challenge you're still taking out crowy and then it's 1 mafia, 1 flog and 1 villager, which means Bastyy has a 50/50 shot of winning as if he doesn't do it right the mafia wins.
Scenario 2: We accidentally lynch the last villager. We lose as you take out crowy.
Scenario 3: We lynch the mafia. We get a 50/50 shot at killing the SK. SK kills you. You kill crowy. We win if we get it right, lose if we don't.

Either way, we're a 50/50 shot at best. It's pretty clear that S1 is the best for you, so you want that.

Well, scenario 1 actually breaks up into multiple scenarios and scenario 3 also has a fatal flaw for you.

 

[eth-dog]

Doesn't he have to win today's immunity challenge before we can't vote for him?

No, he played an idol for himself

Well, scenario 1 actually breaks up into multiple scenarios and scenario 3 also has a fatal flaw for you.

If we lynch the SK and crowy gets the nightkill wrong we lose. If we lynch your partner and crowy get the nightkill wrong we lose. If we lynch your partner and get the nightkill right, you lose.

 

[Senor M]

Doesn't he have to win today's immunity challenge before we can't vote for him?

The Filth Wizard has played an idol, and Chipmunk has played an idol on croweater 41 . These two are safe from eviction today.

Both Filth Wizard & Croweater41 are already safe from the vote.

It leaves very few options with who we can lynch without giving evil the advantage.

 

[Hoos]

No, he played an idol for himself

Ah, okay then. Must have missed that

 

[Hoos]

I'm off for a while. Midday brunch beckons.

 

[The Filth Wizard]

No, he played an idol for himself

If we lynch the SK and crowy gets the nightkill wrong we lose. If we lynch your partner and crowy get the nightkill wrong we lose. If we lynch your partner and get the nightkill right, you lose.

Ok, seems you've taken every avenue into account.

 

[eth-dog]

I'm off for a while. Midday brunch beckons.

Isn't that just lunch?

 

[Hoos]

Isn't that just lunch?

I've heard it called that.

 

[croweater 41]

I really don’t know anymore. Sooner this is over the better I think.

mister M thanks akkaps

 

[eth-dog]

So far we have:

3 votes: Mister M [Hoos, croweater 41, Bastyy]
1 vote: Hoos [3KZ is football]

 

[por_please_ya]

Well maybe I'm not getting modkilled or akkaps is on holiday lol