Werewolf Town of Salem Werewolf VIII (Night 4)

[I bleed Blue]

So your role isn't boring enough that it won't be useful eventually?

Haven't discovered anything useful yet

 

[ZergMinion]

as dero said earlier, we had a 4 doc game once already.

I assume I missed that one? It sounds memorable.

 

[Tarkyn_24]

Tarkyn_24

I've currently put a placeholder protect down (won't say who )

I believe I currently have access to two doctors, two investigations (sheriff and lookout) and a roleblock.

Happy to field ideas for my action tonight.

At this point probably happy to trust your gut.

What evil/neutral killers do we believe to be in play?

 

[Bluelegs]

Investigate me as I can see the whole doctor thing is going to become a distraction.

I actually thought about investigating you last night but I realised that if you are telling porkies you are smart enough to pick a role within your investigator group.

In that scenario if you're lying that leaves SK or potion master. The potion master is dead which only leaves SK so to a sheriff you'd look innocent.

Using the lookout is unlikely to reveal you either way I believe.

 

[Tarkyn_24]

I actually thought about investigating you last night but I realised that if you are telling porkies you are smart enough to pick a role within your investigator group.

In that scenario if you're lying that leaves SK or potion master. The potion master is dead which only leaves SK so to a sheriff you'd look innocent.

Using the lookout is unlikely to reveal you either way I believe.

I’m coming around on your result for Jmoo. There’s only one unaccounted for neutral/benign, yet four unaccounted for neutral/killer.

I’m starting to think Jmoo might be worth the lynch today after all, although it certainly is riskier than BFew who should almost certainly yield something night immune.

 

[ZergMinion]

I actually thought about investigating you last night but I realised that if you are telling porkies you are smart enough to pick a role within your investigator group.

In that scenario if you're lying that leaves SK or potion master. The potion master is dead which only leaves SK so to a sheriff you'd look innocent.

Using the lookout is unlikely to reveal you either way I believe.

I think a tracker could observe BEaston visiting a target without them dying. That would be good enough for me.

 

[BEaston]

I assume I missed that one? It sounds memorable.

I just checked, he said 3 doc game.

I just had a quick look back at all the past games too, a lot had 2 docs, one had 3. That's not including deaths where roles aren't revealed.
I think this is the biggest game in terms of numbers so it's possible to have 4.

There's one guaranteed doc,
2 town protect roles each with a 25% chance to roll doc,
and
8 random town roles with a 1/15 chance at it (ignoring Jailor and Vet as unique roles taken by other slots in this game)

Unlikely yes, but possible.
I'd like to think my contributions to this game speak for themselves anyway as opposed to mang who's done nothing so if there are only 3 of us then...

 

[BEaston]

I actually thought about investigating you last night but I realised that if you are telling porkies you are smart enough to pick a role within your investigator group.

In that scenario if you're lying that leaves SK or potion master. The potion master is dead which only leaves SK so to a sheriff you'd look innocent.

Using the lookout is unlikely to reveal you either way I believe.

So I'm either the Doc or an SK which people have already remarked is unlikely to exist.

 

[ZergMinion]

I just checked, he said 3 doc game.

I just had a quick look back at all the past games too, a lot had 2 docs, one had 3. That's not including deaths where roles aren't revealed.
I think this is the biggest game in terms of numbers so it's possible to have 4.

There's one guaranteed doc,
2 town protect roles each with a 25% chance to roll doc,
and
8 random town roles with a 1/15 chance at it (ignoring Jailor and Vet as unique roles taken by other slots in this game)

Unlikely yes, but possible.
I'd like to think my contributions to this game speak for themselves anyway as opposed to mang who's done nothing so if there are only 3 of us then...

Do you have a link to the game that had three?

 

[Tarkyn_24]

So I'm either the Doc or an SK which people have already remarked is unlikely to exist.

On the assumption your investigative group is as you say it should be, which is not a given.

 

[BEaston]

On the assumption your investigative group is as you say it should be, which is not a given.

Yeah just saying it would have been a good group to target me, as the other 2 options are unlikely or impossible.

 

[BEaston]

Do you have a link to the game that had three?

no thanks to another modkill

 

[Bluelegs]

I think a tracker could observe BEaston visiting a target without them dying. That would be good enough for me.

Yes if Beaston tells us who he's protecting I could use lookout on them but I think that would be a bit of a waste of an action just for a confirmation and will make us both easy pickings for evil.

 

[ZergMinion]

So I'm either the Doc or an SK which people have already remarked is unlikely to exist.

The SK is less likely true, but we had an SK last game go four nights with only a single double up kill, so that is probably about the same odds as 3 docs

 

[ZergMinion]

no thanks to another modkill

Is posting a link to a previous game a modkill offence? Give me the name of it then and I'll find it myself.

 

[Tarkyn_24]

Yes if Beaston tells us who he's protecting I could use lookout on them but I think that would be a bit of a waste of an action just for a confirmation and will make us both easy pickings for evil.

Grouping townies, particularly openly, is a huge risk with a rampaging juggernaut no?

 

[Ocha905]

How did your psychic-ing go last night MP_ ?

 

[BEaston]

Another possibility is that Mafia have a Forger as their last role - both the forger and killer visited Elmer last night.
Interested in Pie's results on this.

 

[ZergMinion]

Grouping townies, particularly openly, is a huge risk with a rampaging juggernaut no?

Yeah....terrible idea. Have to start being much more careful with our open planning.

 

[Bluelegs]

At this point probably happy to trust your gut.

What evil/neutral killers do we believe to be in play?

I’m coming around on your result for Jmoo. There’s only one unaccounted for neutral/benign, yet four unaccounted for neutral/killer.

I’m starting to think Jmoo might be worth the lynch today after all, although it certainly is riskier than BFew who should almost certainly yield something night immune.

Am I correct in saying that of 4 neutral killers we only know that the Jugg exists?

The other three could be any of WW, Arsonist, SK and Plaguebearer?

Infected/Doused players don't know they're infected which makes a plaguebearer or multiple arsonists likely. The WW and SK laying low is a legit strategy though. I could easily see an experienced player playing that way.

 

[Bluelegs]

Grouping townies, particularly openly, is a huge risk with a rampaging juggernaut no?

Yeah the risk/reward doesn't seem worth it to me.

 

[BEaston]

Another possibility is that Mafia have a Forger as their last role - both the forger and killer visited Elmer last night.
Interested in Pie's results on this.

wait wizzy was the forger wasn't he

 

[Tarkyn_24]

I have the subset of roles that BFew can be as:

Executioner, SK, arsonist, juggernaut, werewolf, plaguebearer (pestilence), survivor, bodyguards or immune via a protect or roleblock.

Does that seem right?

 

[Tarkyn_24]

wait wizzy was the forger wasn't he

Would’ve forged prior to death. Which is a shame because a will couldve absolutely cleared that one up.

 

[Tarkyn_24]

Am I correct in saying that of 4 neutral killers we only know that the Jugg exists?

The other three could be any of WW, Arsonist, SK and Plaguebearer?

Infected/Doused players don't know they're infected which makes a plaguebearer or multiple arsonists likely. The WW and SK laying low is a legit strategy though. I could easily see an experienced player playing that way.

Werewolf would’ve only had an opportunity to do something night two thus far I believe.