Prediction Run to the finish line 2023

[fishardansin]

Upload it to google sheets, share it and then paste the share link in the forum. Then we’ll stick it

For those who don't know about Squiggle, where I am getting the data from, check them out:

Squiggle: AFL prediction & analysis

Squiggle is the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping

squiggle.com.au

 

[Dave]

Are we still Essington though? Guess we’ll find out

I'm hoping what we've seen so far is Brad De-Essingtoning us.

 

[Vass38]

We look good in 6th position!


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[eth-dog]

Close thread. Now.

 

[Vindicater]

Close thread. Now.

No bring on finals and then a fall down the ladder in 24!

 

[Lore]

Close thread. Now.

It will sink or swim on its merits if you don’t like it, don’t bump it

 

[Gabe251]

Eh, after watching us today, we finish between 9 and 11.

Better than expected though!

 

[eth-dog]

It will sink or swim on its merits if you don’t like it, don’t bump it

I didn't

 

[bombadeer]

Close thread. Now.

It will sink or swim on its merits if you don’t like it, don’t bump it

I didn't

Just roll with it eth. Dare to dream. Dance like no one is watching.

 

[Bombers36]

If all the favourites win over the long weekend coming up (including us getting over the Blues) we will move up a ladder position to 5th & solidify our position in the 8


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[cAsEy_18]

Thus far, really - we've beaten who we were supposed to beat (and there's something to be said for that, not losing any of those), and lost to who were meant to lose to (Melbourne game excepted).

Shockingly after 12 games, it feels like we haven't really played a lot of teams around us. Only ones I would probably claim are Richmond (win, by clear coin-toss game) and St. Kilda. I suppose now with benefit of hindsight you could argue Gold Coast.

But the next 6 games or so is where our season gets fun/interesting.

Carlton
Away to Fremantle
Home to Port
Home to Adelaide
Away to Geelong
Bulldogs

Two hard games imo (Freo and Geelong) then 4 really interesting games. All tricky in their own right, all winnable.

 

[Bunk Moreland]

Doing the ladder predictor I’m still not sure we’ll make it.

Ultimately I don’t really think it matters. We’ll scrape in and lose the first final like we always do, and I’ll have the same Bombers finals meme sent to me by 35 people.

You have to finish Top 4 and that’s what we’re working toward in future years.

 

[Bjchan13]

Im not giving up hope until Zach does

 

[Don Won]

Eh, after watching us today, we finish between 9 and 11.

Better than expected though!

I guess that will be right - if what we saw was the finished product for the year. I still think we have some improvement to look forward to.

 

[JT_the_Man]

Squiggle thinks 7th and a date with St Kilda.

We’d have a pretty good shot at getting the monkey off our back there.

 

[fairbump_playon]

Squiggle thinks 7th and a date with St Kilda.

We’d have a pretty good shot at getting the monkey off our back there.

Saints aren't going to play finals IMO.

 

[jdstorm]

I guess that will be right - if what we saw was the finished product for the year. I still think we have some improvement to look forward to.

I wouldn’t conceded that.

Wright, Setterfield Parish and AMT add a lot of high end talent to the group.

That’s a scrappy win by a team missing 4 of its most important players.

 

[ant555]

Doing the ladder predictor I’m still not sure we’ll make it.

Ultimately I don’t really think it matters. We’ll scrape in and lose the first final like we always do, and I’ll have the same Bombers finals meme sent to me by 35 people.

You have to finish Top 4 and that’s what we’re working toward in future years.

This year I would think that if we make it we would be more of a chance of winning a final simply because we will still have to beat a couple of good sides to get there . My personal view is will be be a win or two short and finish with 11 or 12 wins. A decent improvement on last year. My pocket hopes we get there as I had a pineapple on us the make the 8 after a good day on the punt in January

 

[Bombers36]

If we can beat Carltank tonight we will move to 6th on the ladder but are on the same points as Brisbane who are 4th..
We'll then get Parish, Shiel & Setterfield back after the bye and can aim not just to stay in the top 8 - but really launch for top 4 spot...!!!

 

[VelvetSledge]

Im not giving up hope until Zach does

I read this as "until Zach dies" and was very confused

 

[Bjchan13]

I read this as "until Zach dies" and was very confused

Im now confused reading it myself, mustve made sense to me at the time though. I think Zach is absolutely determined and driven to win a premiership, him and Brad Scott seem like a good combination so far

 

[Schnitzengruben]

Obviously not expecting to win the GF or anything, but I think we'll easily make finals.

This would be as good a time as any to finally break our X day drought without a finals win.

Win an Elimination final, get the monkey off our back and go into 2024 stronger and with more confidence.

 

[Chief Hopper]

I think our team has turned a corner (knock on wood). We have won tight games this year where we would have previously just lost.
Our game plan, the structure, is holding up well and will only get better.

Maybe it's the easy draw, but this year has thrown new challenging teams and made some sure top 8 teams falter.
I see Essendon finishing in the top 8, maybe even winning a final this year.

 

[Yoda_]

Next 4 weeks are as critical as they come for us;

Carlton to be put to the sword, we win, solid top 6 and go 2 games clear inside the 8
Fremantle are a bipolar side, we win over in the West and media start talking us up more seriously
Power at home is a game I would chalk as a loss but who knows, if they keep winning, surely they need to fall eventually?
Crows at home is another that needs us to continue locking in wins we should be winning even though they are playing a good brand of football in a similar spot to us competing for that 6-10th spot on the ladder as well.
Get through this at least 2:2 and we head into the last 1/3 of the season 9-7 needing to win at least 2 against Cats, Dogs, Swans (h), Eagles (h), Roos (h), Giants (a) and Collingwood to lock up a spot in September would be a good achievement for the 3rd youngest list in 2023.

 

[Bjchan13]

Obviously not expecting to win the GF or anything, but I think we'll easily make finals.

This would be as good a time as any to finally break our X day drought without a finals win.

Win an Elimination final, get the monkey off our back and go into 2024 stronger and with more confidence.

Na just win it this year. Put it on dynasty mode

 

[Bombers36]

We are equal points with 3rd placed Melbourne - 3rd to 6th place(us) are all only separated by % We can realistically make top 4 with a nice break now and Parish, Setters and Shiel all closer to returning!


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