Samcro24
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- Oct 28, 2014
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Misleading title
Most of these aren’t at the end of their careers
Most of these aren’t at the end of their careers
Prediction Rank these current players at the end of their careers
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Samcro24
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- Oct 28, 2014
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Izaak Rankine
Sid Draper
Taylor Walker
Riley Thilthorpe
Jordan Dawson
Max Michaelanney
Darcy Fogarty
Daniel Curtin
Jake Soligo
Josh Rachele
The very top tier is Ricciuto, McLeod:
Thilthorpe and Rankine could make this.
The next tier is Hart, Goodwin, Rehn, Modra, Jarman:
Walker has probably done enough in the latter half of his career to get here. Dawson will be.
The next tier is Thompson, Edwards, Sloane, Talia, Dangerfield etc.
I think that is where Soligo, Michaelanney and Fogarty are heading. Perhaps Rachele and Curtin. I think Laird sits in this group already.
Unsure about Draper, but he has the speed and attributes to climb high in rankings. Murray and Worrell have began their careers well enough to suggest they could be all-time key defenders if they maintain their trajectory and have long careers in successful teams.
Thilthorpe and Rankine could make this.
The next tier is Hart, Goodwin, Rehn, Modra, Jarman:
Walker has probably done enough in the latter half of his career to get here. Dawson will be.
The next tier is Thompson, Edwards, Sloane, Talia, Dangerfield etc.
I think that is where Soligo, Michaelanney and Fogarty are heading. Perhaps Rachele and Curtin. I think Laird sits in this group already.
Unsure about Draper, but he has the speed and attributes to climb high in rankings. Murray and Worrell have began their careers well enough to suggest they could be all-time key defenders if they maintain their trajectory and have long careers in successful teams.
I’m assuming Danger is in that tier due to limited time spent with us?
This is a good way to look at it, I think. Though I'd have Dangerfield in the Hart/Goodwin etc. tier.
Tier 1: Thilthorpe
Tier 2: Rankine, Walker, Dawson, Rachele
Tier 3: Soligo, Michalanney, Fogarty
Too early to say for Curtin and Draper but at a guess I'd say maybe Draper in tier 3 and Curtin doesn't end up in this list. He could be anything but he's also the most likely of the 10 to not really end up as a top tier player.
Yes. And why Jarman is not in top tier. Just my opinion though.
- Sep 3, 2018
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I think this a well thought out post excluding one glaring - ridiculous? - comment
Curtin could easily be a delist in 2/3 years!
He hasn’t done a lot yet - but still puts him above a third of players on an AFL list. This is akin to those people who thought Fog was a delist or Rankine was a terrible deal for us
85% of very good footballers just require time.
Thilthorpe is in his 4th year, Fog started to break out in his 4th year
Has already shown some high quality traits. Will just take time
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A bigger deal out west.
The mistake was I should have said 4 years, not 2-3, seeing he'll get 6 years to show something (like Jones). However, it comes from Curtin sitting on the precipice, as he's in a role that could disappear if Adelaide starts losing or with one more offseason + being a 7th forward role can be a career killer. This year is all about keeping his head above water, hope we keep winning (as that will prevent any need for tactical changes), no other prospect starts destroying the SANFL, and can win a more permanent position when it finally comes up, as it's unlikely we'll run a fourth tall next year.
Most footballers require time, however they create that time for themselves. It's about locking down a best 22 role they can hold down for a couple of years. Right now, Curtin is not in that situation (he is the 22nd selected player), and there is a pretty large graveyard of AFL careers where they made a hot start and got filtered out as the list developed. Heck, our list has a few examples of even hotter starts petering out to nothing. One other thing to note here is the state of our list, as you could mention someone like Fogarty, but Fog (and Adelaide) had the time to stuff up as the quality of Adelaide's list was low, Curtin hopefully won't have the same luxury.
Games like the Essendon one are a good start and I expect Curtin to get through this period to lock down something better. However, it was a rating reflecting where we are today, hence that comment and the "come back next year" one.
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