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AFLW 2024 - Round 8 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
March - Daily Punt
- Thread starter Drakescoffeecake
- Start date
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cooney
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- Mar 29, 2005
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Speckie came home like a train, also liked Bono Vox as I am a big fan of Hayes.
- Thread starter
- #155
Reckon If I Could in race 3 is massive value as well.
I like Daytona Grey for Value in that race, should get up front relativly easilly and front runners arte hard to run down at the Valley good EW odds atm.
Tonight's selections:
Race 3 MV - Flamberge
Race 6 MV - Spirit Song
Saturday Selections:
Race 2 Rose - Villa Verde
Race 3 Rose - Single saver on Hoylony
Race 6 Rose - Fiveandahalfstar
Race 6 Caul - Undeniably
Race 7 Rose - Steps In Time
Race 8 Rose - Moment Of Change
Race 8 Caul - Kerthos
Race 9 Rose - Senta De Noche
Race 3 MV - Flamberge
Race 6 MV - Spirit Song
Saturday Selections:
Race 2 Rose - Villa Verde
Race 3 Rose - Single saver on Hoylony
Race 6 Rose - Fiveandahalfstar
Race 6 Caul - Undeniably
Race 7 Rose - Steps In Time
Race 8 Rose - Moment Of Change
Race 8 Caul - Kerthos
Race 9 Rose - Senta De Noche
Nice tips main man, though I think Pierro is a certainty and will hit it pretty hard. Do you mind sharing your thoughts on Villa Verde? At the odds it's a no bet race for me but I reckon it's gunna be a ripper and would love to be persuaded to have something one way or the other!
Pierro is obviously the threat to MOC but I favour him for the following reasons.
- Had the better preparation, 1000M at WFA behind a freak then a good thing beaten when everything against him in the Newmarket over 1200M.
-The figures from his last 3 starts at 1400M, 1000M and 1200M are superior to anything Pierro has produced in this distance range, Pierros best ratings have come at 1400M +.
- He steps up to 1300M which is a natural progression whereas Pierro comes back 100M and out of his peak range.
- Moment Of Change will get the run of the race sitting on Rain Affair, much like his Rupert Clarke win (career peak to date) when he sat on his stable mate and was produced at the top of the straight.
The one concern is whether he is as good going the Sydney way but the $6 they bet early in the week was a fair enough price for me to find out.
Happy to risk More Joyous, hasn't beaten a field of this quality for a long time.
In regards to Villa Verde she is the 2nd highest ranking 2 year old this season in terms of data and figures produced, MOL is ranked 1 and Overreach 3rd.
Overreach has come back and proven herself since the Spring but in what is a 2 horse race the odds on offer for Villa Verde (who I rate slightly ahead of Overreach) were too good to refuse.
There seems an air of confidence coming out of the Villa Verde camp also, particularly after her track work during the week, Anthony Cummings horse worked with her and he stated that she will be the new favourite for the Slipper after this weekend and even Gai Waterhouse was full of praise for Villa Verde on RSN this morning, which is unusual for Gai.
I took the $2.70 as I thought it was a great price in what I believe is a 50/50 race, I have no doubt they will be closer in the market come Saturday.
- Thread starter
- #162
Liking Mr O'Postrophe in the next here at Albury. In great touch and it looks like the extra distance will help.
Keen on ROCK ROBSTER for the Albury cup and will be chucking FABRIANO into my trifectas who has been racing well in higher grades. Looks set to be a good race that one.
Keen on ROCK ROBSTER for the Albury cup and will be chucking FABRIANO into my trifectas who has been racing well in higher grades. Looks set to be a good race that one.
- Thread starter
- #163
Fabriano wins then gets dumped to 3rd on protest.... Bummer
- Thread starter
- #167
Going for the #1 Gotta Dream
- Thread starter
- #169
Not with that attitude! 
Going the quinella. If I Could from Chosen Moment.
Going the quinella. If I Could from Chosen Moment.
- Thread starter
- #170
We're going well substance!
- Thread starter
- #171
Day Procedure has been crunched. Got $11 a few hours ago
its M Valley
What happened to it in the race? I didn't manage to tune in...
- Thread starter
- #174
I was only listening to it but seemed to jump well but was off the track for most of the race, think it may have even run last..
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