Expansion Canberra

[Coolangatta]

North was also released a year early from their contract on the Gold Coast, so there's definitely precedent.

What’s the earliest you think Canberra could come in? I’m thinking 2031. It won’t be a year after Tassie and two years is probably too soon as well.

 

[TheTassieHawk]

What’s the earliest you think Canberra could come in? I’m thinking 2031. It won’t be a year after Tassie and two years is probably too soon as well.

Assuming the new Tassie stadium does get approved by late 2025 and firms up the 19th licence by late 2025 the earliest a 20th licence would be announced would be sometime in 2026.

When the possible 20th team started would depend on whether a suitable stadium is ready to go, if so 2029 or 2030 may be possible, if not IMO I agree that 2031 or 2032 is definitely far more likely.

 

[Canberra Pear]

Assuming the new Tassie stadium does get approved by late 2025 and firms up the 19th licence by late 2025 the earliest a 20th licence would be announced would be sometime in 2026.





When the possible 20th team started would depend on whether a suitable stadium is ready to go, if so 2029 or 2030 may be possible, if not IMO I agree that 2031 or 2032 is definitely far more likely.

I think Manuka will be the biggest factor. We don't have a time frame yet of when to expect the upgrade by. It should be a simpler job than Mac Point. It's an unknown at the moment, but I wouldn't be surprised if Manuka is ready first.

I think the other factor is the AFL balancing how long they want Tasmania and the draft to settle vs how long they want byes.

I think Canberra could be ready to go from the same time as Tasmania in 2028, but it'd probably be at least 2030-2031 to let things settle. They'd be cautious after bringing in the Giants immediately after the Suns.

 

[Badger17]

I think Manuka will be the biggest factor. We don't have a time frame yet of when to expect the upgrade by. It should be a simpler job than Mac Point. It's an unknown at the moment, but I wouldn't be surprised if Manuka is ready first.

I think the other factor is the AFL balancing how long they want Tasmania and the draft to settle vs how long they want byes.

I think Canberra could be ready to go from the same time as Tasmania in 2028, but it'd probably be at least 2030-2031 to let things settle. They'd be cautious after bringing in the Giants immediately after the Suns.

Not to be a downer, but this all assumes that there'll be tangible progress on the Manuka upgrades, which isn't a given.

I'm not saying it won't happen, but our government is notorious for dragging these projects out of the cupboard in the lead up to an election only to shove them back in afterward. The most famous example is that they've promised a new rectangular stadium at each election since 2008, and I wouldn't be surprised to see progress on the next stage of upgrades to Manuka quietly disappearing for 4 years as well.

Personally I think future upgrades to Manuka will rely a lot on how negotiations progress with CA and potentially the AFL.

 

[Badger17]

Exactly. They know we'll show up regardless, so it doesn't matter what they give us. Which I think is disrespectful.

I think the Port game is the least likely to sell out. Might be a hard sell. June night game is going to be cold! Hopefully they schedule the North game at a reasonable hour.

Some of us are going to have to get used to night games in winter if we want our own team.

 

[Howard Littlejohn]

^^^ would ACT Senators / canberra senators appeal?

[edit] side note, long thought west sydney rangers would have worked well but GWS Giants got the nod .... and here we are

No. Only two of 76 senators are from the ACT. Most want as little as possible to do with the pricks the rest of the country sends us. The shit that goes on at the big top is your fault, not ours.

The Cockatoos would allow ACT traditional blue, yellow and white.
Or the Owls with the Belco owl as the mascot, except a group of owls is a parliament and nobody (except party hack political staffers who should not be taxpayer funded to begin with) wants to be reminded of those ****ers.
So, Cockatoos. Which I'm sure nobody would abbreviate to *****.

There is practically zero chance of a new oval stadium in Canberra. Major works at Manuka are unlikely enough.
Even rebuilding the rectangle at Bruce is unlikely, and if the A-League Mens team get off the ground the rectangle would get far more use than an oval. Between the Raiders and Brumbies, that more than the AFL and 5-7 days of cricket (1 mens international, PMXI, 2-3 BBL, 1-2 womens internationals) a year.
AFLW may be played at the oval as well, depending on clashes with cricket pitch preparation (the square needs a few weeks between any footy and a cricket match).
Add possible occasional Socceroos, Matildas, Wallabies to the rectangle, if upgraded or less likely replaced. Although they would still be less than once a year combined, on average.

 

[Canberra Pear]

Not to be a downer, but this all assumes that there'll be tangible progress on the Manuka upgrades, which isn't a given.


I'm not saying it won't happen, but our government is notorious for dragging these projects out of the cupboard in the lead up to an election only to shove them back in afterward. The most famous example is that they've promised a new rectangular stadium at each election since 2008, and I wouldn't be surprised to see progress on the next stage of upgrades to Manuka quietly disappearing for 4 years as well.


Personally I think future upgrades to Manuka will rely a lot on how negotiations progress with CA and potentially the AFL.

Not at all. I appreciate your realism.

My hope is that the Manuka redevelopment is a much easier task. Half the rectangular stadium debacle is even choosing the right location. There's less ambiguity for Manuka, so hopefully there's less faff. But time will tell. The tender closed in August, so hopefully we get some news soon.

Some of us are going to have to get used to night games in winter if we want our own team.

Very true. It's just annoying when we have such beautiful winter days. But I've got my Port winter gear ready, so will be nice and rugged up.

 

[Badger17]

Not at all. I appreciate your realism.

My hope is that the Manuka redevelopment is a much easier task. Half the rectangular stadium debacle is even choosing the right location. There's less ambiguity for Manuka, so hopefully there's less faff. But time will tell. The tender closed in August, so hopefully we get some news soon.

The stadium is just the most famous example.

New convention centre, ice rink, new aquatic facility in Civic, new basketball courts, the list of projects that have been election promises for a decade or more goes on and on. Those are just examples of sports and recreation facilities as well.

Very true. It's just annoying when we have such beautiful winter days. But I've got my Port winter gear ready, so will be nice and rugged up.

It's interesting because Bruce has given night games a bad name in Canberra IMO.

At other venues they aren't actually too bad in my experience, but the perception has become that night games in Canberra during winter are unbearable because Bruce's design accentuates all the worst aspects of cold conditions.

It'd be a good idea to invest into making Manuka more snug if it's getting upgraded anyway though.

 

[Badger17]

No. Only two of 76 senators are from the ACT. Most want as little as possible to do with the pricks the rest of the country sends us. The shit that goes on at the big top is your fault, not ours.

The Cockatoos would allow ACT traditional blue, yellow and white.
Or the Owls with the Belco owl as the mascot, except a group of owls is a parliament and nobody (except party hack political staffers who should not be taxpayer funded to begin with) wants to be reminded of those ****ers.
So, Cockatoos. Which I'm sure nobody would abbreviate to *****.

Griffins has always been the bridesmaid but never the bride in Canberra.

It's linked to Canberra's culture and history without it being overt or connected to politics, it's unique, can work with whatever colours you like, and is highly adaptable. Griffins was also one of the first names proposed for the Raiders and Brumbies as well, but it slipped both by for different reasons. In the Raiders case it's what the team would have been called if the NSWRL hadn't interfered.

You wouldn't have to worry about people abbreviating it to ***** either.

 

[Fire]

The problem the AFL have is timing... 19 teams will be a nightmare to schedule byes for, as mathematically its a terrible number. Either 7 or 8 game rounds will be norm, or there will be a normal of 9 game rounds, with quite a number of much smaller rounds. In either outcome, a significant number of rounds will be needed which extend the competition length. This would have impacts on both its ability to sell timeslots, and also introduce logistical headaches.

I don't think a 19 team competition is going to be sustainable for long. As in, maybe a year or two at most.

 

[Howard Littlejohn]

Griffins has always been the bridesmaid but never the bride in Canberra.

It's linked to Canberra's culture and history without it being overt or connected to politics, it's unique, can work with whatever colours you like, and is highly adaptable. Griffins was also one of the first names proposed for the Raiders and Brumbies as well, but it slipped both by for different reasons. In the Raiders case it's what the team would have been called if the NSWRL hadn't interfered.

You wouldn't have to worry about people abbreviating it to ***** either.

Griffins is certainly an option.

 

[Walshawk]

The problem the AFL have is timing... 19 teams will be a nightmare to schedule byes for, as mathematically its a terrible number. Either 7 or 8 game rounds will be norm, or there will be a normal of 9 game rounds, with quite a number of much smaller rounds. In either outcome, a significant number of rounds will be needed which extend the competition length. This would have impacts on both its ability to sell timeslots, and also introduce logistical headaches.

I don't think a 19 team competition is going to be sustainable for long. As in, maybe a year or two at most.

19 teams is not a nightmare at all. In fact, there are multiple ways to do the fixture starting and finishing on the same weekend as they will in 2025, even including adding a 24th game. You don’t have to extend the season of have weeks of 7/8 games.

For example, you can have nine games rounds 1 - 25, then three games in round 26, giving the top 13 teams a bye the week before the finals (rejig after round 19).

 

[Fire]

19 teams is not a nightmare at all. In fact, there are multiple ways to do the fixture starting and finishing on the same weekend as they will in 2025, even including adding a 24th game. You don’t have to extend the season of have weeks of 7/8 games.

For example, you can have nine games rounds 1 - 25, then three games in round 26, giving the top 13 teams a bye the week before the finals (rejig after round 19).

Ah, you are correct, I was trying to get to 23 games each, which is a nightmare, but its pretty easy to get to an even number as you have outlined.

 

[Canberra Pear]

Two Canberrans in the draft. Not a bad result. Tasmania and the NT didn't get any.

If you count Queanbeyan in the ACT, we were actually the third highest drafted state/territory per capita. Only behind Victoria and SA.

 

[Bjo187]

Two Canberrans in the draft. Not a bad result. Tasmania and the NT didn't get any.

If you count Queanbeyan in the ACT, we were actually the third highest drafted state/territory per capita. Only behind Victoria and SA.

I would like to see someone compile a list of all the picks and which states that come from actually. It would be good to keep an eye on it.