Afl - round 7

[Grizzly_82]

If buddy and Clarke both stay on 3 goals what happens to my bet on Clarke with most goals?

 

[Davedinkum]

It gets halved

 

[Grizzly_82]

It gets halved

If its in a multi does the whole bet gets halved or just that leg?

 

[Lensen]

If its in a multi does the whole bet gets halved or just that leg?

If you do the maths you'll discover they are the same

 

[Grizzly_82]

If you do the maths you'll discover they are the same

Sorry not getting the meaning I know I seem to be asking stupid questions

 

[TheNextBigThing]

If its in a multi does the whole bet gets halved or just that leg?

If you do the maths you'll discover they are the same

Sorry not getting the meaning I know I seem to be asking stupid questions

lol

 

[TheNextBigThing]

The Franklin/Rioli +3.5 vs Melbourne at $2 is interesting, Franklin 6 + Rioli 4 + 3.5, can't see Melbourne kicking 14, and that's being conservative as Buddy could easily kick 8+

Should have won by more, 3.7 for Franklin and Rioli got subbed off after missing some easy chances by his standards

 

[Grizzly_82]

lol

Sorry for getting ****ing confused no need to make fun of me, I get it now gee

 

[tupperware]

This weekends multis:

GC H2H 1.38
Sydney H2H 1.85
Port +31.5 1.91
Adel v Gee Any Result <40 1.35

Haw -29.5 1.30
Adel v Gee Any Result <40 1.35
Ess v WC Any Result <40 1.36
NM H2H 1.40

Sorry posting latish, hopefully fairly safe.

Also tossed in a cheeky EPL multi:
Liverpool 2.10
MU 1.44
Arsenal 1.66

 

[Mudeo]

I have taken Sewell tonight as a roughie and thinking about Sloane tomorrow.

Ripper! Decent odds to.

 

[Grizzly_82]

Had Sewell and Clarke in my multi... Also have Kennedy, swan, Watson and west coast first to 25.

Long shot bet but you never know

 

[X_box_X]

Ripper! Decent odds to.

Good one.

I had Sloane last week. He was great odds at $17 in Group A. Ended up falling two disposals shy of Thompson.

Guarantee you he will get up at least once between now and round 23 (which will mean a profit if he continues to be priced at $17). He's too good of a player not to, and Thompson and Dangerfield should get tags before him.

 

[Falcons]

Ok well one bet for me tonight

$100 on Hawks -51.5

Good start to the weekend!

 

[iluvparis]

Round 7 Multi
Gold Coast, West Coast, Kangaroos - all H2H
$4.18 @ Sportingbet

YTD: 2-0, +2.53

 

[True North]

Geelong U39.5
North Melb

1u @ $3.48 Centrebet

 

[Falcons]

One for today

Gold Coast Line
Eagles Win

$41 @ $4.48 (Centrebet)

 

[Falcons]

One for today

Gold Coast Line
Eagles Win

$41 @ $4.48 (Centrebet)

Adding:

Crows +39.5
Eagles +39.5
Swans +39.5
Gold Coast Win

$100 @ $2.08 (Centrebet)

And one last one for Saturday

HARLEY BENNELL v Tom Scully Dream Team Points

$50 @ $1.85 (Centrebet)

Good Luck to everyone! (Minus Geelong, Essendon and Richmond Backers lol)

 

[Athomas]

Geelong -7.5 @ $2.15

All over this. Also took Geel 40+ @ 5.

Geelong will win. Bookmark

 

[ManWithNoName]

Bartel and Scarlett both out.

 

[Duritz]

bartel and scarlett both out.

ffs.....

 

[free at last]

Re: The Impossible(?) AFL Multi Thread.

Just put $10 on this impossible/pyol multi

Suns over 16
FREO under 40 (forecast to rain hard over here tomorrow arvo)
Bombers under 40
Blues over 16
Cats under 40
Swans under 40
Pies over 16
Dogs +32.5

Return $152.00

 

[foxy_dal]

Grimes no good last year but still going at 16-8 +6.71 units. Have only made a few plays each of the last few weeks but found a lot I like today.

3 units Cox over Ryder @ 1.80. (Already into 1.75) Cox scored massive without Natanui at 141 and despite Ryder averaging 110 he has been averaging about 100 now that Bellchambers has settled as the other ruckman. Basically I expect Cox to put up 130 and Ryder 90-100.

1 units Hawkins over Walker @ 1.65. Hawkins averaging 105 v Walker 85.

1 unit Bennell over Horsley @ $1.77. Bennell in terrific form getting 141, 89 and 96 in his last 3. With Ablett back in the middle I would expect Horsley to not get as much of it and he has not broken the 100 yet in his 2 games anyway. Predicting 100-110 for Bennel and 70-80 for Horsley.

1 unit Rockliff over Sidebottom @ $1.65. Rockliff has scored 167 and 140 in his last 2 games at the GABBA and should average about 10 more then Sidebottom come the end of the year. With a few inclusions Sidebottom may play more time up forward and get less ball as well.


And for tomorrow:

1 unit Boyd over Cross @ $1.88. Averaging the same so far this year but Boyd has been below his usual output and is at least 10 SC points per game better than Cross I think.

1 unit Griffen over Swallow @ $1.88. Griffen in great form with his last 2 games getting 150. Swallow has been consistant around the 110 range but i'll take the in form player.

 

[laam]

2u hawkins > 2 goals DNB @ 1.7
has beaten the line 4/6 games, adelaide dont have any standout defender like frawley last week

2u swallow > 22.5 possesions @ 1.87
has beaten this line 4/6 games and should see more of the ball than ussual against GWS

1.5u rockliff > 108.5 in DT @ 1.76
has beaten this line 3/6 but collingwood wont put a tag on him and he will be free to rack them up.

1u brown most goals vs collingwood @ 8
was up and firing again last week and collingwood are seriously lacking a defender to go with him with all their injuries

3u cox > priddis in DT @ 1.82
priddis is a very consistant DTer pretty much scoring 95-105 every match, as we saw last week cox without nic nat in the side will rack it up and score 110+

 

[Butler]

Been struggling to find time to post up my thoughts on games this week but I have gone with:

Geelong -4.5 @1.92 (1U)
Gold Coast -24.5 @1.92 (1U)

Multi of Geelong, Gold coast lines and Richmond h2h (1U)

Was fairly confident in Geelong until I found out Scarlett was also out.

 

[twarby]

laam does it right, why do others use averages as their reasoning?
weird