AFLW 2024 AFLW Grand Final: North Melb. vs Brisbane - Sat 30 Nov, 7.45pm AEDT

Who will win, by how much


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Here are all the major bullet points that I could think of right now:

Big picture

The Kangaroos are looking to continue the leaguewide post-2020 streak, wherein GF losers go on to win the GF in the following year.

The Lions are attempting to go back-to-back. Yet to be achieved by any club in AFLW. This is the first time the reigning premiers have even made the GF.

Both clubs are also vying to achieve multi-league firsts. North will be looking to pull off the VFLW/AFLW double. Brisbane: the AFL/AFLW double.

NM are aiming to be the first undefeated AFLW premiers.

BL are aiming to join Adelaide as the club with the most AFLW premierships (3).

This will be the first instance of a Grand Final in which both teams plus venue are a repeat of any previous Grand Final.

This will be the 2nd time, following Adelaide/Brisbane, in which two clubs have met in multiple AFLW Grand Finals.


NM v BL Head-to-Head

Overall H2H record:
1-5
H2H in finals: 0-1

History of meetings (most recent first)
2024 R1: NM def BL by 44 points @ Brighton Homes Arena
2023 GF: BL def NM by 17 points @ Ikon Park
2023 R4: BL def NM by 2 points @ UTAS Stadium
22S7 R7: BL def NM by 7 points @ Arden Street Oval
22S6 R9: BL def NM by 36 points @ Mission Whitten Oval
2021 R8: BL def NM by 15 points @ The Gabba

North’s only other losing H2H record is vs Melbourne (3-6).

Brisbane’s 44-point loss this year was their heaviest-ever defeat vs any club.


North Melb.

Road to the GF

Won by 44 @ Bris
Drew v Geel
Won by 50 @ Melb
Won by 36 v PA
Won by 69 @ Carl
Won by 12 v Rich
Won by 55 @ WB
Won by 60 v Syd
Won by 51 @ Ess
Won by 8 @ Adel
Won by 63 v GC
Won by 7 v Adel
Won by 57 v PA


Expected age, experience
26y 339d, 1260 games

Record in Grand Finals: 0-1

Past premierships
Libby Birch – 2
Jenna Bruton, Emma Kearney, Kim Rennie – 1 each

Hoodoo Roo?
Tahlia Randall is 0-3 in AFLW Grand Finals


Brisbane

Road to the GF

Lost by 44 v NM
Won by 18 @ Melb
Won by 52 v Coll
Won by 47 v WB
Won by 45 @ WCE
Won by 2 v Adel
Won by 55 @ Carl
Won by 16 v GC

Lost by 10 @ Geel
Won by 68 v Syd
Won by 27 @ StK
Won by 6 @ Haw
Won by 18 v Adel


Expected age, experience
25y 198d, 1162 games

Record in Grand Finals: 2-3

Past premierships
Anderson, Campbell, Conway, Davidson, Dawes, Ellenger, Grider, Hickie, Hodder, Koenen, O’Dwyer, Smith, C. Svarc – 2 each
Boltz, Dunne, Hampson, Mullins, Postlethwaite, R. Svarc – 1 each

Backs in business
To date, Brisbane have had 3 players win the Grand Final BOG award: Kate Lutkins, Shannon Campbell and Breanna Koenen. All defenders first and foremost.


Ikon Park stats

North Melb.:
7-3
Brisbane: 4-3-1

Previous AFLW Grand Finals
2017: WB def BL by 6 points
2023: BL def NM by 17 points
 

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I'm expecting North to win this time but us to be competitive. Last year's GF being in the afternoon gave us a huge sporting advantage because while that day as probably the hottest day in Melbourne in the past two weeks or so (felt like it anyway), our girls would have been training in much hotter and humid conditions almost every day for the past two-three months before that. Even at three quarter time I was confident we'd run over them.

We won't have the same advantage this time around even if it was a day game considering the last two weeks or so have had a few hot days.
 
I'm expecting North to win this time but us to be competitive. Last year's GF being in the afternoon gave us a huge sporting advantage because while that day as probably the hottest day in Melbourne in the past two weeks or so (felt like it anyway), our girls would have been training in much hotter and humid conditions almost every day for the past two-three months before that. Even at three quarter time I was confident we'd run over them.

We won't have the same advantage this time around even if it was a day game considering the last two weeks or so have had a few hot days.
Didn’t help we were down a rotation all game with Bruton injured

I think the game will be more similar to round 1

Our 3 big inclusions from the grand final Vikki wall, birch and Tripodi have made us a much better side
 
I'm expecting North to win this time but us to be competitive. Last year's GF being in the afternoon gave us a huge sporting advantage because while that day as probably the hottest day in Melbourne in the past two weeks or so (felt like it anyway), our girls would have been training in much hotter and humid conditions almost every day for the past two-three months before that. Even at three quarter time I was confident we'd run over them.

We won't have the same advantage this time around even if it was a day game considering the last two weeks or so have had a few hot days.
Possibly rain will be a factor too, its early days but there is some expected over the coming week.
 
Has the potential to be a high scoring Grand Final, North Melbourne is the highest scoring team (in a single season) in AFLW history and Brisbane is the fourth.

1. North Melbourne 2024 - 113.94.772
2. Adelaide 2023 - 110.89.749
3. Melbourne 2023 - 100.107.707
4. Brisbane 2024 - 98.111.699
5. Hawthorn 2024 - 95.108.678
 

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AFLW 2024 AFLW Grand Final: North Melb. vs Brisbane - Sat 30 Nov, 7.45pm AEDT

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