AFL 2023 - AFL Round 6

[balmainforever]

 

[Atavistic]

also johnson 5/stringer 5 @ 2501 (SB) for the lotto ticket lol

It's so degen I have to tail.

 

[_ASP3X]

SB Free $50 hit:

WHE 15+
Elliott 15+
Pendlebury 20+
J Daicos 20+
Crisp 20+
Mihocek 2+ goals
Elliott AGS
Crisp AGS
$50 @ $45.50

B365 Mega Boost:

Stringer AGS
Ginni AGS
$80 @ $2 ($80 was my max)

 

[_ASP3X]

Long Shot train on Crisp. He has 1 goal in the last 2 Anzac day games.

Crisp AGS - 1u @ $3.90
Crisp 2+ - 0.3u @ $26
Crisp 3+ - 0.15u @ $176

 

[Its not the coach]

Noble 20+
De-goey 20+
Moore 15+
Elliott 15+ @9 SB free hit

Elliott 2+
De-goey 2+
Stringer 2+
McCreery 1+ @ 22 PB

Collingwood 25+
North Adelaide 1-39 @5.32 SB

 

[tangolikelama]

SB Free $50 hit:

WHE 15+
Elliott 15+
Pendlebury 20+
J Daicos 20+
Crisp 20+
Mihocek 2+ goals
Elliott AGS
Crisp AGS
$50 @ $45.50

B365 Mega Boost:

Stringer AGS
Ginni AGS
$80 @ $2 ($80 was my max)

Tailing that multi

 

[NYRB]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier for the ANZAC Day game. Stat Multiplier (Kicks x Handballs xGoals). Some reasoning behind each tip (using $1 staking system)



OVER 45 Mihocek- I feel loss of Merrett will affect the Bombers midfield a bit today. In fact Essendon are missing 3 of their better players from last years ANZAC clash in : Waterman, Merrett and 2 metre Peter. Essendon up forward look a bit smaller today. Pies have 3 defenders listed at: 203 cm, 201 cm and 193 cm and Maynard is 189 cm. They are also more physically stronger ranging from 93 kgs to 100 kgs. I sense the ball will live a bit more in the Pies forward line today. And think Mihocek can get a bit more of the ball on ground level and in the air.

OVER 50- Jack Crisp

25

Jack Crisp

Age

31

Ht

190cm

Wt

91kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.2

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

9.7

5star

M

4.6

4star

T

4.0

5star

MG

307.6

4star

D

17.7

4star

K

10.7

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

5.1

5star

T

1.6

3star

MG

307.6

4star

D

14.4

4star

K

8.4

4star

HB

6.0

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.0

5star

- snagged a goal in last years ANZAC day game and will get a few opportunities at goal. It may be one or it may be two. Im hoping there is plenty of pings at goal.

OVER 38 Steele Sidebottom

22

Steele Sidebottom

Age

33

Ht

184cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

27.4

5star

K

14.1

5star

HB

13.3

5star

M

5.5

5star

T

3.7

5star

CL

3.2

5star

D

24.0

5star

K

12.0

5star

HB

12.0

5star

M

4.5

4star

T

4.3

5star

CL

2.3

4star

D

31.6

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

17.2

5star

M

4.2

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

6.0

5star

- a play based on averages in the last 3 years

OVER 74 Jamie Elliott- I sense he has a couple of goals at least him in today.

OVER 68 Darcy Parish

3

Darcy Parish

Age

27

Ht

180cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

20.4

5star

K

9.2

4star

HB

11.2

5star

M

3.2

3star

T

3.3

5star

CL

3.2

5star

D

16.6

4star

K

7.4

3star

HB

9.1

5star

M

1.4

2star

T

2.0

3star

CL

3.1

4star

D

22.2

5star

K

7.6

3star

HB

14.6

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

4.4

5star

CL

3.6

5star

- has won the ANZAC Medal before and he knows he will have to step up without his partner in crime today.

Was thinking of adding Tom Mitchell but in 2023 he is playing a different role where he doesnt want to pig on disposals. Under Collingwood, they just want to transition as quick as possible . A faster paced game I feel favours Collingwood, a slower paced game favours Essendon. Feel like Stringer has a bad matchup today to pick up disposals , so Im going to swerve Stringer. I think with a player like him, he is an extremes player- could go very hot on his day or very cold.

Was thinking of adding Scott Pendlebury

10

Scott Pendlebury

Age

36

Ht

191cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

26.5

5star

K

13.2

5star

HB

13.3

5star

M

4.1

4star

T

4.9

5star

CL

4.9

5star

D

25.1

5star

K

12.3

5star

HB

12.9

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

2.3

3star

CL

3.6

4star

D

12.4

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

4.8

4star

M

5.8

5star

T

2.6

4star

on the OVERS with his good record on the day but I couldnt do it.


Note : Sidebottoms Line has changed to OVER 46 at the time of writing. I will use this value in my P & L at the end of the game.

 

[toenail11]

Elliot 3
Weid 3
Mihocek 2
Hill
@65

Mihocek 4
Stringer 3
Hill
@33

Mihocek 2
Stringer 2
Hill 2
Weid
@10.50


Stringer, Johnson trains
I’m also on Langford **** knows if he’s playing forward or not
De Goey for the medal

 

[GROTTO]

MCG bathed in sunshine, 25 degrees, wowee.

Please rain Pie goals.

 

[NYRB]

SB Free $50 hit:

WHE 15+
Elliott 15+
Pendlebury 20+
J Daicos 20+
Crisp 20+
Mihocek 2+ goals
Elliott AGS
Crisp AGS
$50 @ $45.50

B365 Mega Boost:

Stringer AGS
Ginni AGS
$80 @ $2 ($80 was my max)

You have the same goalscorers as me on my stat Multiplier , Ive tailed that first one at PointsBet at the odds of $73.58.

 

[GROTTO]

This is the one

It is, I tried tailing and SB allowed me on for $1.

 

[Areyoufireal]

Mihocek, Stringer, Martin 2 goals each @ 12s
Stringer over 12 total points @ PB
Anzac Medal - Elliot @51 & Stringer @ 21s

 

[Atavistic]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier for the ANZAC Day game. Stat Multiplier (Kicks x Handballs xGoals). Some reasoning behind each tip (using $1 staking system)

View attachment 1669740

OVER 45 Mihocek- I feel loss of Merrett will affect the Bombers midfield a bit today. In fact Essendon are missing 3 of their better players from last years ANZAC clash in : Waterman, Merrett and 2 metre Peter. Essendon up forward look a bit smaller today. Pies have 3 defenders listed at: 203 cm, 201 cm and 193 cm and Maynard is 189 cm. They are also more physically stronger ranging from 93 kgs to 100 kgs. I sense the ball will live a bit more in the Pies forward line today. And think Mihocek can get a bit more of the ball on ground level and in the air.

OVER 50- Jack Crisp- snagged a goal in last years ANZAC day game and will get a few opportunities at goal. It may be one or it may be two. Im hoping there is plenty of pings at goal.

OVER 38 Steele Sidebottom- a play based on averages in the last 3 years

OVER 74 Jamie Elliott- I sense he has a couple of goals at least him in today.

OVER 68 Darcy Parish- has won the ANZAC Medal before and he knows he will have to step up without his partner in crime today.

Was thinking of adding Tom Mitchell but in 2023 he is playing a different role where he doesnt want to pig on disposals. Under Collingwood, they just want to transition as quick as possible . A faster paced game I feel favours Collingwood, a slower paced game favours Essendon. Feel like Stringer has a bad matchup today to pick up disposals , so Im going to swerve Stringer. I think with a player like him, he is an extremes player- could go very hot on his day or very cold.

Was thinking of adding Scott Pendlebury on the OVERS with his good record on the day but I couldnt do it.


Note : Sidebottoms Line has changed to OVER 46 at the time of writing. I will use this value in my P & L at the end of the game.

Yeah, our forward line is quite small. I reckon Phillips and Draper must kick goals for us.

 

[burge13]

Ginni/Stringer 2+
McCreery AGS
Markov/WHE 15+
Redman 20+

33/1 for money back promo. 39 boosted (im on 33/1)

 

[sohohoho]

Johnson named starting ruck?

Frampton should be the ruck again with chop out from Johnson, maybe Kreuger does that but they may not want to break him

 

[Pacman82]

johnson 2/stringer 2 @ 4.5
johnson 3/stringer 3 @ 25 (Boosted sb)
johnson 4/stringer 4 @ 212 (boosted SB)

Tailed 4 & 4

 

[Atavistic]

Kreuger 3, Draper 2, Phillips 1 @151.

 

[Selim]

we going huge

Ginnivan 2-5 @1.91, 3.90, 9.50, 26

Johnson 2-5 @2.60, 6.50, 19, 81

Stringer 2-5 @1.88, 3.90, 9.50, 26

Perkins 1-5 @1.57, 3.40, 8.50, 30

Elliott 2-5 @2.25, 4.50, 13, 35

 

[NYRB]

Ill have a go at Andrew Phillips , they have labelled him in the forward line . At 201 cm , he will be their target man today. I know it will be a bit of a task going up against the Pies backline but with Moore likely to go to Stringer or the Weed, he possibly gets their 3rd best defender today.

Andrew Phillips 2+ Goals @ $8.00
Andrew Phillips 3+ Goals @ $36.72 (TAB Boosted)
Andrew Phillips 4+ Goals @ 126
Andrew Phillips 5+ Goals @ $601

 

[GROTTO]

we going huge

Ginnivan 2-5 @1.91, 3.90, 9.50, 26

Johnson 2-5 @2.60, 6.50, 19, 81

Stringer 2-5 @1.88, 3.90, 9.50, 26

Perkins 1-5 @1.57, 3.40, 8.50, 30

Elliott 2-5 @2.25, 4.50, 13, 35

Cant decided between Perkins and Langford.

 

[GROTTO]

we going huge

Ginnivan 2-5 @1.91, 3.90, 9.50, 26

Johnson 2-5 @2.60, 6.50, 19, 81

Stringer 2-5 @1.88, 3.90, 9.50, 26

Perkins 1-5 @1.57, 3.40, 8.50, 30

Elliott 2-5 @2.25, 4.50, 13, 35

Im on all those Pies trains and Package.

 

[Selim]

Cant decided between Perkins and Langford.

with Wedierman, Davey Jnr + menzie, snelling i dont see langford playing forward today

 

[hewetta]

Anzac Medal - J.Daicos @ 18, Setterfield @ 34
Johnson 2+, 3+
Ginnivan 3+
Mitchell ATS
Draper 15+

 

[ferrisb]

Please rain Pie goals.

My betting account says yes please.

My 3rd gen Carlton supporter spirit says **** no!

 

[ferrisb]

Ill have a go at Andrew Phillips , they have labelled him in the forward line . At 201 cm , he will be their target man today. I know it will be a bit of a task going up against the Pies backline but with Moore likely to go to Stringer or the Weed, he possibly gets their 3rd best defender today.

Andrew Phillips 2+ Goals @ $8.00
Andrew Phillips 3+ Goals @ $36.72 (TAB Boosted)
Andrew Phillips 4+ Goals @ 126
Andrew Phillips 5+ Goals @ $601

I know he kicked 2 last week, but I think he'd need to be on the 14th best defender to kick a bag of goals...

 

[freo_leo29]

Davey jnr train

Johnson train

Where did everyone get the string bean odds?