balmainforever
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2021 Brownlow Medal (any results after no posting is automatic card)
- Thread starter TheJanuaryMan
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Analysis Paralysis
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After Greenwood's out of nowhere votes last year (anti-gola) Gold Coast would be my major concern.
Billionaire Panda
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Hot, chance, look at others: When will the top Brownlow fancies poll?
Riley Beveridge runs the round-by-round rule over this year's contenders
www.afl.com.au
Not a bad read
- Oct 6, 2011
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It was Round 11. Petracca was quoted at $26 for best on ground after no initial price was listed. He probably won't get it but thought if Harmes was listed at $9, Tracc should have been at least given a mention as well.
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- Oct 6, 2011
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- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
$26 for Petracca is a tad overs for me in that game anyway in Rd 11. He had most contested possession that night. Watching it first time I found his game quite 'eye catching'. (maybe it was just me)
I've seen worser bets to poll 3 votes in a game. But having said that Oliver deserves to start favourite to poll 3 here.But im not touching that at the price of $1.50.
I've seen worser bets to poll 3 votes in a game. But having said that Oliver deserves to start favourite to poll 3 here.But im not touching that at the price of $1.50.
Prochard123
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jul 28, 2014
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Interesting, I really don't think he deserves even 1 vote from this game, but at the same time I CAN see a world where he polls 3 too??
Probably a result of all the best midfielders being on the losing team, and having no stand out midfielder on the winning team.
Prochard123
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jul 28, 2014
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I was watching the Carlton vs Freo game yesterday.
Many major sites had him with 3 votes this game, which definitely was to my surprise.
Watching the game closely, Walsh and Carlton as a team got absolutely DESTROYED in the midfield. Carlton lost clearances 26 - 45 (almost got doubled.. huge loss).
Walsh had the least number of clearances out of every midfielder from both teams.
64% disposal efficiency, and visually while a lot of his handballs around the ground were solid and some indirectly set up plays, I didn't think it was nearly the quality you'd need to overlook the lack of quantity in his contribution.
His final quarter goal was flashy, but it more so secured the victory rather than being the match winning goal.
If Carlton had lost I would've given Walsh 0 votes this game. But they did win, and all Carlton midfielders sucked, so I ended up giving him a 2 in this game, but I think him only getting the 1 vote is definitely possible.
Ultimately I think umpires do tend to like inside mids more. Walsh is less inside than some of the other midfielders, but umpires absolutely love him as a young gun carrying a struggling midfield and I think will try to give him cheap votes from time to time. With those factors balancing out, I think Walsh should poll his 26 - 28 votes with both limited upside and limited downside.
It plunged from $10 into $1.85 and her husband is a massive punter…
Tells you enough just that.
Cheers yeah like him or Hogan. Also think Rankine could be a shout.
Gift
Norm Smith Medallist
Eddie Betts kicked 5 against the Dogs in Round 8 in a kinda close loss. Probably gets the 1 and likely no chance of getting votes for the rest of the year.
Love this one! Believe TJM gave him the 1 in this game also
Round 7 GC v Pies
GC by 5 goals
Just wondering if people have Mihocek polling that game?
Ellis 35 & 1, Miller with 34, Greenwood 26 & 1, Bowes 30
Mihocek 24 & 4
I like him for 1. $1.80 to poll a vote.
I have
3. Miller
2. Greenwood
1. Mihocek
Ellis not all that much of a favourite with umps, if anything though he can get the 2.
Just don't see how the umps wouldn't see a bloke who has 24 & 4. Most inside 50s, equal most score involvements.
GC by 5 goals
Just wondering if people have Mihocek polling that game?
Ellis 35 & 1, Miller with 34, Greenwood 26 & 1, Bowes 30
Mihocek 24 & 4
I like him for 1. $1.80 to poll a vote.
I have
3. Miller
2. Greenwood
1. Mihocek
Ellis not all that much of a favourite with umps, if anything though he can get the 2.
Just don't see how the umps wouldn't see a bloke who has 24 & 4. Most inside 50s, equal most score involvements.
He may poll in Round 5 against Carlton
guessing all the value is gone but my mate wanted to see it for a laugh, can someone link me the brownlow bingo.... cant find it on sportsbet
Prochard123
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jul 28, 2014
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Final count (adjustments were made to account for an underestimation of non-midfielder pollings)
1. Clayton Oliver - 34 votes
2. Ollie Wines - 31 votes
3. Jack Steele - 31 votes
4. Marcus Bontempelli - 29 votes
5. Christian Petracca - 27 votes
6. Sam Walsh - 26 votes
7. Tom Mitchell - 26 votes
8. Touk Miller - 24 votes
Think Bont is a genuine chance of missing the top 5 with a floor of 26-27 votes, with both Petracca and Walsh potentially reaching that 28 vote mark. Although this is unlikely.
Hard to see Steele missing top 3.
Think it will be a 3 horse race between Oliver, Wines, Steele.
1. Clayton Oliver - 34 votes
2. Ollie Wines - 31 votes
3. Jack Steele - 31 votes
4. Marcus Bontempelli - 29 votes
5. Christian Petracca - 27 votes
6. Sam Walsh - 26 votes
7. Tom Mitchell - 26 votes
8. Touk Miller - 24 votes
Think Bont is a genuine chance of missing the top 5 with a floor of 26-27 votes, with both Petracca and Walsh potentially reaching that 28 vote mark. Although this is unlikely.
Hard to see Steele missing top 3.
Think it will be a 3 horse race between Oliver, Wines, Steele.
Get on boys
top 3 Oliver
Top 5 Steele
25+ votes Bontempelli
20+ votes Mitchell
20+ votes Walsh
20+ votes Miller
20+ Parish
Top 20 Merrett
Cam Guthrie lead Geelong Votes
Dustin Martin lead Richmond votes
Josh Kelly lead GWS votes
Travis Boak lead PA without Wines
top 3 Oliver
Top 5 Steele
25+ votes Bontempelli
20+ votes Mitchell
20+ votes Walsh
20+ votes Miller
20+ Parish
Top 20 Merrett
Cam Guthrie lead Geelong Votes
Dustin Martin lead Richmond votes
Josh Kelly lead GWS votes
Travis Boak lead PA without Wines
- Oct 6, 2011
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His price for the BOG was $1.75 a few days ago and has shortened to $1.50.I have him as favourite but if I were betting on it, would want > $2.30.
He kicked a goal (important one) late in that game. It was a tight game too. But this is one game potentially out of 3 games where he could drop votes.
2021 BROWNLOW MEDAL LEADERBOARD - TOP 20
Oliver, Clayton 32
Steele, Jack 31
Wines, Oliver 30
Bontempelli, Marcus 28
Mitchell, Tom 26
Walsh, Sam 26
Petracca, Christian 25
Parish, Darcy 24
Merrett, Zach 24
Boak, Travis 24
Miller, Touk 23
Lyons, Jarryd 22
Macrae, Jackson 21
Laird, Rory 21
Parker, Luke 20
Guthrie, Cameron 18
Kelly, Josh 18
Mundy, David 17
McCluggage, Hugh 15
Mills, Callum 15
2021 BROWNLOW MEDAL - TEAM TOP 5
Oliver, Clayton 32
Steele, Jack 31
Wines, Oliver 30
Bontempelli, Marcus 28
Mitchell, Tom 26
Walsh, Sam 26
Petracca, Christian 25
Parish, Darcy 24
Merrett, Zach 24
Boak, Travis 24
Miller, Touk 23
Lyons, Jarryd 22
Macrae, Jackson 21
Laird, Rory 21
Parker, Luke 20
Guthrie, Cameron 18
Kelly, Josh 18
Mundy, David 17
McCluggage, Hugh 15
Mills, Callum 15
2021 BROWNLOW MEDAL - TEAM TOP 5
Adelaide:
Laird 21, Walker 9, Keays 8, Sloane 4, Sholl 3
Brisbane:
Lyons 22, McCluggage 15, Zorko 14, Neale 8, Bailey 5
Carlton:
Walsh 26, McKay 5, Curnow 4, Cripps 4, Silvagni 2
Collingwood:
De Goey 10, Adams 10, Crisp 8, Grundy 6, Pendlebury 3
Essendon:
Parish 24, Merrett 24, Stringer 10, McGrath 4, Wright 4
Fremantle:
Mundy 17, Brayshaw 11, Darcy 10, Fyfe 9, Serong 4
Geelong:
Guthrie 18, Dangerfield 11, Hawkins 9, Selwood 8, Duncan 7
Gold Coast:
Miller 23, Anderson 6, Greenwood 6, Ellis 3, Fiorini 2
Greater Western Sydney:
Kelly 18, Taranto 11, Greene 10, Hopper 10, Ward 6
Hawthorn:
Mitchell 26, Wingard 9, O'Meara 9, Howe 3, Day 2
Melbourne:
Oliver 32, Petracca 25, Gawn 14, McDonald 6, Fritsch 6
North Melbourne:
Cunnington 11, Simpkin 9, Stephenson 3, Larkey 3, Zurhaar 3
Port Adelaide:
Wines 30, Boak 24, Amon 9, Allir 6, Drew 4
Richmond:
Martin 13, Bolton 7, Riewoldt 6, Graham 5, Lynch 4
Sydney:
Parker 20, Mills 15, Franklin 9, Heeney 9, Dawson 6
St.Kilda:
Steele 31, Dunstan 7, Crouch 5, Jones 5, Billings 5
West Coast:
Sheed 12, Kelly 11, Gaff 10, Redden 5, Naitanui 3
Western Bulldogs:
Bontempelli 28, Macrae 21, Liberatore 6, Treloar 5, Smith 5
Laird 21, Walker 9, Keays 8, Sloane 4, Sholl 3
Brisbane:
Lyons 22, McCluggage 15, Zorko 14, Neale 8, Bailey 5
Carlton:
Walsh 26, McKay 5, Curnow 4, Cripps 4, Silvagni 2
Collingwood:
De Goey 10, Adams 10, Crisp 8, Grundy 6, Pendlebury 3
Essendon:
Parish 24, Merrett 24, Stringer 10, McGrath 4, Wright 4
Fremantle:
Mundy 17, Brayshaw 11, Darcy 10, Fyfe 9, Serong 4
Geelong:
Guthrie 18, Dangerfield 11, Hawkins 9, Selwood 8, Duncan 7
Gold Coast:
Miller 23, Anderson 6, Greenwood 6, Ellis 3, Fiorini 2
Greater Western Sydney:
Kelly 18, Taranto 11, Greene 10, Hopper 10, Ward 6
Hawthorn:
Mitchell 26, Wingard 9, O'Meara 9, Howe 3, Day 2
Melbourne:
Oliver 32, Petracca 25, Gawn 14, McDonald 6, Fritsch 6
North Melbourne:
Cunnington 11, Simpkin 9, Stephenson 3, Larkey 3, Zurhaar 3
Port Adelaide:
Wines 30, Boak 24, Amon 9, Allir 6, Drew 4
Richmond:
Martin 13, Bolton 7, Riewoldt 6, Graham 5, Lynch 4
Sydney:
Parker 20, Mills 15, Franklin 9, Heeney 9, Dawson 6
St.Kilda:
Steele 31, Dunstan 7, Crouch 5, Jones 5, Billings 5
West Coast:
Sheed 12, Kelly 11, Gaff 10, Redden 5, Naitanui 3
Western Bulldogs:
Bontempelli 28, Macrae 21, Liberatore 6, Treloar 5, Smith 5
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JT_the_Man
Draft King
Search Brownlow Novelties in Sportsbet.
Armaguard is still $3 and Mark McGowan is still $5.
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Inject this count into my veins pls
Tigers04
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I second that, dreams are free! 1-2 players will under/over poll
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