Tsitsipas $3.90 over Sinner on betfair. Obviously Sinner has clicked it up a gear this year but it is not like he has really done anything super impressive on clay to date and early clay season is Tsitsipas' play ground historically.
Lucky in the end as Sinner had control of the match after the first set until he got hurt. You cop a lot of bad beats betting on tennis so take the good ones when you can.
Rafa $2.60 over Demon. Ok Rafa is battling to just get out onto the court these days but who would ever think Demon would start favourite over him on clay. I see tennis a lot like horse racing. Rafa was 2nd up off a long spell when he lost to Demon the other week. He has had another run under his belt since and should have taken improvement from that.
Hurkacz over Fritz at $2.16. This one is pretty coin flippy and might come down to a tie breaker but on clay I would have the odds the other way around personally. Hurkacz only loss this clay season so far is against Ruud on the slow clay at Monte Carlo which is never going to suit a big server.
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