I'm always cynical about Dickson because sheer voter apathy + that rural Samford contingent always helps Dutton across the line.
That said, Dickson's voters must be more aware of him than they were previously, and him being largely absent when Cyclone Alfred looked like bearing down on Dickson + his open preference for living far, far away from Dickson must irritate some of their voters. Plus Clive still might not be a fan, and there's the independent being a potential spoiler.
It'll be a tight race - but Dickson's voters are apparently relatively conservative, which might still help Dutton squeak across the line. A genuine 50/50 proposition right now, though.
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