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So after our performance against the giants, I am suddenly full of false hope that our season may actually be somewhat salvageable. What a good time to analyse what we need to do to make the Top 4.

Unfortunately there have been a few games this season that will come back to bite us in the arse, which means that we have to rely heavily on other teams doing a number on the teams above us in order to have a chance.

However, after what has been a disappointing season, we are still in with a chance (albeit small) of winning the cup. Who woulda thought?

Lets look at the remaining fixture and in particular games of importance:

Round 21:

Freo vs Crows

Tigers vs Cats

Round 22:

WC vs Hawks

Kangaroos vs Swans

GWS vs Freo

Port vs Crows

Lions vs Cats

Bombers vs Bulldogs

Round 23:

Crows vs WC

Cats vs Melbourne

Swans vs Richmond

Kangaroos vs GWS

Freo vs Bulldogs

Hawks vs Pies

A look at the ladder:

1 Hawthorn        20 16 0 4 122.40 64

2 Sydney           20 15 0 5 146.90 60

3 Adelaide         19 14 0 5 141.10 56

4 GWS Giants     20 14 0 6 137.60 56

5 Geelong          19 14 0 5 137.10 56

6 West Coast      20 14 0 6 129.20 56

7 Bulldogs          20 14 0 6 115.30 56

8 Nth Melbourne 20 12 0 8 108.50 48

Freo have games against the Crows, Giants and Bulldogs. Talk about a harsh way to end the season and how  ironic, having to rely on them to cause some damage for us.

First things first, to make the Top 4 we need to win our last two games as a bare minimum. Unfortunately even if we do, there is a lot riding on other games in order for this to even happen.

Top 4 contenders:

Hawthorn:

Last 2 games against us and the pies, providing that we beat them next week and they lose against the pies, they could fall out of the top 4, with us replacing them. How sweet would that be?

Sydney:

Games against the Roos and Richmond is looking like 2 wins for them. But they will definitely be games of interest. They would need to lose both games for us to sneak up above them. Highly unlikely.

Adelaide:

3 games left for the Crows. They have games against Freo, Port and us in the final round. If they beat Freo and Port, then they will finish above us. Really need them to lose starting this week!

GWS:

Need these guys to lose at least 1 game out of the Roos and Freo. Looking unlikely but there is always a chance of an upset.

Bulldogs:

We are on even points, yet have a better percentage then these guys. Provided that we win our two games, it doesnt matter how these guys fair against the other teams in their remaining games.

There are many possibilities in these last few rounds, but signs are point to us finishing 6th, maybe 5th. However upsets are always possible, wouldnt it be nice if we could sneak into the top 4 by seasons end?