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I think Luka is the best performing player in the league right now (or Steph), but the record isn't good enough. I have made it pretty clear that i think the MVP is a heavily flawed award but with it currently being the way it is i think Tatum, Giannis and Jokic are the favourites. The Mavs would need to make a move to at least be a top 3 or so seed.

I also don't think Luka is that popular with some of the American media which probably hurts him a little. Everything points to a Tatum win

The media is bored of Giannis and Jokic, Luka and Steph don't have the record. Tatum is on the best team, having a very good year and he has always been a fan and media favourite. Still very early in the year so it is far from decided but i think things remaining as they are it is hard to see Luka being given a shot to win it.