Prediction The $2-million dollar player

[mikey83]

With the desperate Saints offering Finn Callaghan $1.7m a year over 10 years, it could only be a matter of time before we see the first player offered a $2mil a year deal.

The question is: relative to the Callaghan offer, which players would actually command $2m a year on an open market? The requirements would be youth, A-grade talent and unique attributes most players don't have.

The two obvious names that come to mind are Nick Daicos and Sam Darcy.
Maybe Harley Reid? Melbourne wanted to offer 4 years worth of first rounders for him.
Sheezel? Ashcroft?

 

[stallon]

Cant see Daicos being it, as good as he is I dont think hes the type of player to get that sort of contract. Ashcroft a similar sort of player to Daicos, cant see it. Those accumulator mids arent that valuable to be the highest paid in the league.
Darcy might stay sub 2mil too, solely because hes a father son.
JHF at the club he wants to stay at, wont go anywhere so wont get 2mil first.
Sheezel no, Callaghan just signed on for less than 2mil so no to him.

Reid a decent chance regardless of where he signs on.
Chad Warner potentially if he goes to west coast, but I think he would be on a touch under(aside from maybe year 1 as a sign on bonus)
Could even be Bont if he leaves the Dogs via free agency, a 3 year deal on huge money for example

Probably a free agent of some sort

 

[jwikked]

With the desperate Saints offering Finn Callaghan $1.7m a year over 10 years, it could only be a matter of time before we see the first player offered a $2mil a year deal.

The question is: relative to the Callaghan offer, which players would actually command $2m a year on an open market? The requirements would be youth, A-grade talent and unique attributes most players don't have.

The two obvious names that come to mind are Nick Daicos and Sam Darcy.
Maybe Harley Reid? Melbourne wanted to offer 4 years worth of first rounders for him.
Sheezel? Ashcroft?

I don't understand how St Kilda can offer Finn Callaghan 1.7 per year, TDK 1.3 per year (or whatever it is) but then not take both those off the table, combine them, and offer Harley Reid $2.5 million per year.

It's an insane offer to a guy who's only played 1 year, but I don't think Nick Daicos cares about money, nor would Sam Darcey.

 

[mikey83]

Cant see Daicos being it, as good as he is I dont think hes the type of player to get that sort of contract. Ashcroft a similar sort of player to Daicos, cant see it. Those accumulator mids arent that valuable to be the highest paid in the league.
Darcy might stay sub 2mil too, solely because hes a father son.
JHF at the club he wants to stay at, wont go anywhere so wont get 2mil first.
Sheezel no, Callaghan just signed on for less than 2mil so no to him.

The question isn't who will be the first $2m player. The question is which players would get offered $2m in an open market (free agency if everyone was eligible).

If the Saints were offering $1.7m for Callaghan, I'm pretty sure they would offer $2m for Daicos.

Darcy is a 210cm player who can mark everything and is somehow an elite field kick. There would be clubs lining up to pay him $2m in an open market.

 

[mikey83]

It's an insane offer to a guy who's only played 1 year, but I don't think Nick Daicos cares about money, nor would Sam Darcey.

can guarantee you they do.

They might be prepared to accept less money for the sake of the club, but Collingwood and the Dogs will still have to pay them a lot.

 

[Bald]

We are going to have to pay Sam Darcy SO much money.

 

[jwikked]

can guarantee you they do.

They might be prepared to accept less money for the sake of the club, but Collingwood and the Dogs will still have to pay them a lot.

Sure, but when you grow up with money, it's not the same draw. They're both getting paid, but neither of them need that money to improve their circumstances.

 

[Daka]

We are going to have to pay Sam Darcy SO much money.

Give him JUH's wage, problem solved.

 

[Bald]

Give him JUH's wage, problem solved.

I actually don't think it'd be enough.

 

[Daka]

I actually don't think it'd be enough.

He'd be on the more than the average players that's like 500-600k, JUH would have signed anywhere from 900-1.1m
1.5-1.6m? maybe not far off it + he would be in line for a payrise when he next re-signs not sure what his contract status is like but maybe you could tell me.

 

[stallon]

The question isn't who will be the first $2m player. The question is which players would get offered $2m in an open market (free agency if everyone was eligible).

If the Saints were offering $1.7m for Callaghan, I'm pretty sure they would offer $2m for Daicos.

Darcy is a 210cm player who can mark everything and is somehow an elite field kick. There would be clubs lining up to pay him $2m in an open market.

They may have already been offered 2mil, but I dont think they have been.
Darcy should get offers like that, I dont think Daicos will just yet.

JHF, Darcy, Reid, etc are the types to get those offers, outside the Saints desperate attempts to get literally anybody to the club

 

[Cyclops]

I think height attracts more money, certainly other things being equal, but I think it's more heavily weighted than skill, fitness etc.

Sam Darcy would be it, probably will be offered that in the next few years.

If you miss out on a Daicos there's still near enough targets available most years, enough to stop a club blowing themselves up for just one guy. But when the guy is tall...Pies with Grundy, Swans with Buddy and Tippett, Carlton and Essendon with the McKays.

 

[RUNVS]

In a few years with more inflation we will get a $2 million a year player. Wasn't so long ago that a $800,000 a year contract was seen as huge.

 

[THE_GUN]

There is already a $2 mil a year player

But the AFL turns a blind eye to it

Jeremy Cameron bought a $4 million dollar Farm for $800k and it already had 300 cattle that were worth $6000-$8000 each

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

There is already a $2 mil a year player

But the AFL turns a blind eye to it

Jeremy Cameron bought a $4 million dollar Farm for $800k and it already had 300 cattle that were worth $6000-$8000 each

Don't forget the youtube video where he showed off his new tractor a local had gifted him that turned out to be worth about 50k lmao

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Personally I don't think any team will offer 2mil a year for at least another 5-10 years. It's too big of a pinch on your salary cap to have that much money invested in one player. Think 1.5 will become the new norm for the big guns but the reported 1.7-2mil a year type offers will remain just stories from player agents trying to extract more value by using clubs like North and the Saints that have a heap of cash to splurge.

 

[THE_GUN]

$2 mil is not impossible contract and some team will offer it to a Free agent thats 26/27 but will be on a 4/5 year deal so his club wont match it to get him across, Richmond this year literally could pay out all our biggest contracts and have nothing but rookie salaries to pay the next 2 years banking a shed load to make an offer.

Who knows what the cap will be in 2031

 

[Shane Heard]

Only super tall key forwards and CHBs and players in the lil Gaz category of supreme ball getters will get 2mil.

Is Nicky D a better player than Merrett? No he isn’t.

And Merrett wouldn’t get 2 mill if he was 24 again.

 

[Scotland]

Only super tall key forwards and CHBs and players in the lil Gaz category of supreme ball getters will get 2mil.

Is Nicky D a better player than Merrett? No he isn’t.

And Merrett wouldn’t get 2 mill if he was 24 again.

GAJ got $2m a year 15 years ago when the cap was $8m, but he was the marquee player of a new club being paid by the AFL. If he was a $750k player at Geelong (or $100k plus... benefits) and $1m on the open market it was always going to take huge overs to lure him away.

Now the cap is $18m and there are 25 players earning over $900k. The cap keeps going up and before long there are $1.5m players, then $2m players.

The problem the AFL has is that the biggest salaries usually don't go to the most deserving players. Mac Andrew, Ben McKay, potentially Finn Callaghan and Tom De Koning etc. shouldn't be any top 10 or 20 lists. It's just clubs using cap space to drive up the value of the best available players.

Even Harley Reid who has the potential to be anything is not a $1m a year player let alone $2m. Played 20 games in his first year and in half of them didn't get 20 touches or trouble the scorers. But he's not a "$2m player" on output, it's all speculation on what it would take to get/keep him. Nick Daicos has played 3 seasons and in two of them he would've won the Brownlow in most years so I would be pretty happy giving him a long term commitment of max dollars.

 

[BF Tiger]

What surprised me most about the Finn Callaghan offer from St Kilda is that he turned down that guaranteed huge money. In five years he still might not get offered $1.7 million/year even if his star keeps rising.

$17 million guaranteed, plus commercial endorsements, sets him up for life at the next level. A run of bad form followed by a knee injury or multiple concussions might see him earning a quarter of that.

 

[Handsuper47]

Matt Rowell, he's gonna get $2 million worth of grass

 

[voorhees]

We are going to have to pay Sam Darcy SO much money.

true that
he's the player you build a team around.
his next contract is going to be eye watering.. 2mil who knows?
1.5m - 2m will be ballpark

 

[Drought Break]

What surprised me most about the Finn Callaghan offer from St Kilda is that he turned down that guaranteed huge money. In five years he still might not get offered $1.7 million/year even if his star keeps rising.

$17 million guaranteed, plus commercial endorsements, sets him up for life at the next level. A run of bad form followed by a knee injury or multiple concussions might see him earning a quarter of that.

yeh it was a big call by him. Kudos for sticking with his club but it would have been mighty tempting.

 

[Fadge]

Is Nicky D a better player than Merrett? No he isn’t.

That's quite funny...

 

[Sphynx]

It will be a player that moves, not clubs resigning a Daicos or Darcy.

The obvious candidate is Harley Reid at the end of this season.

McKercher to Tassie maybe another one that “could” get an offer of that type depending on where he’s at in another 60 games with the CBA increases.

Or alternatively a left field type like a Serong or Anderson to Tassie as their flagship recruit.

It’s going to be a young top player that has been drafted interstate from their home state.

The obvious ones at this stage are out of the following group, which look like progressing to AA types or are there already. Not saying they are worthy or will, but that they are the ones which fit likely top 50 players or better that are currently at clubs not from their home state.

Rowell, Anderson, Serong, H.Young, Callaghan, McKercher, Reid, Butters, B.King

Bont, Cripps, Neale and Petracca will all be in their 30’s by the time Tassie enter, they are a remote possibility I guess. For a short contract to make a splash.

I think we are probably 10-15 years from internal $2m contracts.