I really do enjoy this annual circus, harmless fun, especially the angst when it inevitably goes pear shaped.T71 did say that his mate said he thought Baker was staying, but there was still chance he could move. From the various rumours put out there it sounded like Baker was not going until fairly late. It's all chancy. Say 80% chance Baker si staying. Then late in the season he gets a great offer (like a premiership shot with Freo, and to play with a mate + money + family), and say the RFC says "we want you to stay, but if you go for a good return to us we won't get in the way', he is gone.
I always take these things as probabilities, not certainties. ... except Dusty moving the (name club).