Competitions 2023 Upsets Game - 1st The Airing of Grievances - 2nd Gumby2Hurley - 3rd Lance Uppercut

[Beerfish]

LEADERBOARD



ROUND SCORES
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24​

Hello and welcome to the 2023 Upsets Game. Any Essendon poster can play this game. There is no need to sign up or be in from the start to win. You can start playing at any point in the home and away season and the comp finishes at the end of the last round.

Here's how it works.

Rather than use gambling odds we're using the world famous Squiggle aggregate. Don't know what that is? Check it out here because you'll need to keep an eye on it to make your learned selection each week. Or not. It's up to you. You can just pick a team if you want.

Each round everyone will select one team they think will win. You can change your mind as many times as you like up until the bounce of the first game of the round. Once the first ball is bounced the entire round is locked out. A screenshot of the final Squiggle aggregates will be posted as at the opening bounce just like this grab from round 1 2020:

We'll use this as an example to illustrate how it works from there. Let's take the first game - Richmond v Carlton.

At the time of that snip 74% of tipsters were tipping Richmond and 26% Carlton. If you were to select Carlton as your tip and they managed to get up we go 100/26 = 3.85. 3.85 is your score for round 1. If you had selected Richmond and they had won, which they did because they're better than Carlton and more than likely still are, we go 100/74 = 1.35. 1.35 would be your score for round 1. It's that simple.

If the team you select loses or you forget to make a selection before bounce down of game 1 of that round you get zero. So the bigger the upset the bigger the potential score and at the end of the home and away season the person with the biggest total score wins. Play it safe for small yet consistent wins or pick the big upsets for the big scores or mix it up - it's up to you!

Prizes will be a cool badge and 12 month Platinum BF for the winner and 12 month Gold BF for second and third. As if it wasn't already the best deal in town, it's even better when it's free?

NEW RULE FOR 2023
I am introducing a new rule for season 2023. This year you must actually tip an upset. If you pick a side that is being tipped to win even if it's only by 1% you will score zero. My screenshot has the final say and no correspondence will be entered into.

Also, as the game organiser I reserve the right to add in any further rules I feel necessary if there are things that pop up I didn't foresee. It all went pretty smoothly last year though so I think we should be pretty sweet and I will not be playing so you can rest assured my decision will remain 100% impartial and above reproach.

 

[Pweter]

Boo, get your own underdogs folks!

 

[eth-dog]

I mean it's at Adelaide Oval and I think a lot of the algorithms generally consider that to be a big home ground advantage for Port in particular (not every team gets the same HGA rating). So it's probably overrating them on that basis. And I don't think Brisbane travel well do they? At least other than to Melbourne

Haven't lost to Port since 2018, not in Adelaide since then.

 

[Beerfish]

It's currently only 55% Port's way so wouldn't be a much of an upset. Could be risking a zero score like hank.

 

[Lore]

It's currently only 55% Port's way so wouldn't be a much of an upset. Could be risking a zero score like hank.

Mine says 59 atm, although it'll swing a bit more once team announcements filter through to each algorithm

 

[Beerfish]

Okay it's 57% now.. I think I'll stop looking.

 

[Pweter]

Yeah it's been constantly in the 55-59% range since someone asked if I'd read the OP

 

[Shermy]

 

[Beerfish]

I know it says one hour ago but I swear I was standing there taking the screenshot as the ball was bounced. The squiggle can be a bit weird with its times.

​

 

[Beerfish]

Oh and yodellinhank that's a zero mate.

 

[yodellinhank]

Oh and yodellinhank that's a zero mate.

Upsetting.

 

[Beerfish]

 

[The Airing of Grievances]

After deciding to hold back until late but then forgetting to tip at all last week, I need to put in the big strides. And how better than harvesting big points by nominating North Melbourne to score over the perennially flaky Dockers.

 

[eth-dog]

GC for now I guess

 

[Pweter]

Port Paer

 

[Lance Uppercut]

Carlolton

 

[Lore]

POrt

 

[Gumby2Hurley]

Carlton again…

 

[bombre-boy]

West Coasters

 

[Beerfish]

​

 

[Shermy]

um if it counts, WCE.

Otherwise i'll just wait until next week, not sure how I missed this

 

[Beerfish]

um if it counts, WCE.

Otherwise i'll just wait until next week, not sure how I missed this

You just missed the cut off.

 

[Beerfish]

After deciding to hold back until late but then forgetting to tip at all last week, I need to put in the big strides. And how better than harvesting big points by nominating North Melbourne to score over the perennially flaky Dockers.

Huge!

 

[The Airing of Grievances]

Huge!

A lot of my Perth mates are Dockers fans so I sort of feel bad for them. But I'll take it.

 

[boncer34]

Essendon

 

[Shermy]

Round 3 tips (throwing an order in case they change...)
Sydney
Gold Coast
Adelaide