FootyGuy13
That Guy in the Back Corner
- Joined
- Feb 21, 2018
- Posts
- 7,344
- Reaction score
- 23,391
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
According to one ClarkeM , no one reads the OP. Good, that means I can just rant and say stuff about anyone and I won’t get in trouble. This week is Round 13 but with the added twist that it’s also the last round of Season 34. That means that only a handful of people care about the result this Sunday, because else has other missed finals or they don’t who they go up against as long as they get to fight someone and make them cry. Luckily with it being the last round, it’s the easiest time of the year to do that.
Now, we’ve had some good statistical analysis so far this season. Ljp86 and Broken informs us who has made finals, who can’t and what teams need to do to reach either outcome, while DenieD gives us a rough outline of what the chances of a team finishing somewhere on the ladder. That got me thinking though; wouldn’t the average person reading these posts want the actual numbers, the actual chance out of 100 of such things happening? Well, person who is better than ClarkeM because they are still reading this, let’s have a look at some pretty graphs and see what can be done, not just what could be done.
So in a weird turn of events, the Phoenix and the Swamprats have the exact same chances for every position. A win for either team and they get a home final. A loss for either team and they might not even make finals. There's even a chance that they'll face each other again next week!
Of course, form could play a part in all this. Take the Phoenix or Swamprats. The Phoenix have won 4 out of their last 6 games while the Swamprats haven’t been able to get any sort of form going, bad or good. Will current fortunes continue or can those playing figure out how to flip the script? Not to mention, the last time these 2 teams played against each other, okeydoe7’s 889th goal saved the match from being a draw and gave the Swamprats the win. What does it matter what happened last season to this one? ¯\(ツ)/¯
But you know what does matter? Having people to talk to while you wait for the inevitable qooty result to happen because sometimes it can lonely if you’re in a match thread by yourself. It’s the end of the home and away season, some already know they won’t be playing during finals, maybe you’ve already checked out mid-season and counting down the days until you play games on the other side of Sweet. Let’s get to know the opposition.
Philreich is a very funny man if you think he’s version of “funny” is to be laughed at. And it never seems like he’ll run out of these jokes anytime soon so too bad if don’t find Dad jokes the peak of comedy. Phil is also far from one-note, anyone who has been in a match thread with him should know this. He is a heart-and-soul player for the Swamprats, and I don’t see him leaving Alberton anytime soon.
Of course, for the Swamprats, I gotta talk about the current admin. Some say that Kennedy Parker has been absent in the league this season, another Ant Bear they say, and yet has done more than the last 2 admins combined in 1 season. While you may also disagree with the changes he’s brought in, it’s apparently what he did last time as well so what did people expect the second time around?
Chipmunk is retiring this week, one game short of reaching Game 100. That is unless they win and make finals, which in that case sorry Spoilers. Chipmunk had a good run, it’s very hard to hate someone when it’s clear he’s everyone’s favourite rodent. Hopefully we do get to see him next year; we don’t want to see someone go that embodies the new look Fire Birbs so well. If he does though, we’re dragging him back from the UK.
Luckily, we have a replacement for No.1 Rodent in por_please_ya. Oh, but all she talks about is Hairy Pooter and Katgirl Evergreen and Poki Mans. Have you ever actually talked to her? (This line would work so much better if it wasn’t the Swamprats.) She’s someone who knows a lot about a lotta stuff, a good example of someone who grew up in the late 90s/2000s and another reason why the Phoenix are so enjoyable to chat with.
This should be a friendly get together between teams in what might be the final game of the season so I’ll start things off for you guys...
A frog goes into a bank to get a loan. The frog goes up to the teller, she's wearing a little name tag as they do that says Mrs. Whack, so her name is Mrs. Whack.
"Hello there," says the frog. "Can I get a loan?”
The teller replies “Well, I don’t know, you’re a frog.”
“Well,” the frog interrupts “…I want a loan.”
“What’s your name?” the teller asks, going along with it.
The frog states “Kermit."
"You’re not Kermit the frog!" exclaims Mrs. Whack.
"No no no, not that Kermit you fool!” the frog explains “I was named after him but the name’s Kermit Jagger! My father is Mick Jagger, my mother is a frog and I’m his offspring, don’t ask."
After a pause the frog continues “Anyways, I want a loan for a lily pad. It’s on a pond near the shops, good neighbourhood and I’d like to get it.”
The teller gets overwhelmed a little "Well you can’t- I don’t know if you can have one. Do you have any collateral for the loan?"
"But of course, I have this" says Kermit and ever so carefully he reached into his pocket and pulled out a tiny ceramic pink elephant; a little shiny pink elephant.
Kermit proclaims “This is my collateral.”
So Patty has a look at it and- her name is Patty, and she says "I don’t think this is much collateral, you know, but I’ll talk to the bank manager about it, you know."
So she goes over to the bank manager and asks, "Mr. Bank manager there’s a frog out there, this Kermit Jagger fellow. Wants a loan but all he has for collateral is this ceramic pink elephant. Do you have any idea as to what this is?"
The bank manager says “Aah, lemme see now.” And he takes a long hard look at the tiny pink elephant.
After a while, the bank manager finally says, "Y'know what this is? This is a knick knack, Patty Whack, so give the frog a loan, his old man’s a Rolling stone!"
East Side by 17
Also Captains, teamsheets to be in by 11:59pm AEDT (11:29pm ACDT, 8:59pm AWST, don't bother asking for Brisbane time).
Now, we’ve had some good statistical analysis so far this season. Ljp86 and Broken informs us who has made finals, who can’t and what teams need to do to reach either outcome, while DenieD gives us a rough outline of what the chances of a team finishing somewhere on the ladder. That got me thinking though; wouldn’t the average person reading these posts want the actual numbers, the actual chance out of 100 of such things happening? Well, person who is better than ClarkeM because they are still reading this, let’s have a look at some pretty graphs and see what can be done, not just what could be done.
So in a weird turn of events, the Phoenix and the Swamprats have the exact same chances for every position. A win for either team and they get a home final. A loss for either team and they might not even make finals. There's even a chance that they'll face each other again next week!
Of course, form could play a part in all this. Take the Phoenix or Swamprats. The Phoenix have won 4 out of their last 6 games while the Swamprats haven’t been able to get any sort of form going, bad or good. Will current fortunes continue or can those playing figure out how to flip the script? Not to mention, the last time these 2 teams played against each other, okeydoe7’s 889th goal saved the match from being a draw and gave the Swamprats the win. What does it matter what happened last season to this one? ¯\(ツ)/¯
But you know what does matter? Having people to talk to while you wait for the inevitable qooty result to happen because sometimes it can lonely if you’re in a match thread by yourself. It’s the end of the home and away season, some already know they won’t be playing during finals, maybe you’ve already checked out mid-season and counting down the days until you play games on the other side of Sweet. Let’s get to know the opposition.
Philreich is a very funny man if you think he’s version of “funny” is to be laughed at. And it never seems like he’ll run out of these jokes anytime soon so too bad if don’t find Dad jokes the peak of comedy. Phil is also far from one-note, anyone who has been in a match thread with him should know this. He is a heart-and-soul player for the Swamprats, and I don’t see him leaving Alberton anytime soon.
Of course, for the Swamprats, I gotta talk about the current admin. Some say that Kennedy Parker has been absent in the league this season, another Ant Bear they say, and yet has done more than the last 2 admins combined in 1 season. While you may also disagree with the changes he’s brought in, it’s apparently what he did last time as well so what did people expect the second time around?
Chipmunk is retiring this week, one game short of reaching Game 100. That is unless they win and make finals, which in that case sorry Spoilers. Chipmunk had a good run, it’s very hard to hate someone when it’s clear he’s everyone’s favourite rodent. Hopefully we do get to see him next year; we don’t want to see someone go that embodies the new look Fire Birbs so well. If he does though, we’re dragging him back from the UK.
Luckily, we have a replacement for No.1 Rodent in por_please_ya. Oh, but all she talks about is Hairy Pooter and Katgirl Evergreen and Poki Mans. Have you ever actually talked to her? (This line would work so much better if it wasn’t the Swamprats.) She’s someone who knows a lot about a lotta stuff, a good example of someone who grew up in the late 90s/2000s and another reason why the Phoenix are so enjoyable to chat with.
This should be a friendly get together between teams in what might be the final game of the season so I’ll start things off for you guys...
A frog goes into a bank to get a loan. The frog goes up to the teller, she's wearing a little name tag as they do that says Mrs. Whack, so her name is Mrs. Whack.
"Hello there," says the frog. "Can I get a loan?”
The teller replies “Well, I don’t know, you’re a frog.”
“Well,” the frog interrupts “…I want a loan.”
“What’s your name?” the teller asks, going along with it.
The frog states “Kermit."
"You’re not Kermit the frog!" exclaims Mrs. Whack.
"No no no, not that Kermit you fool!” the frog explains “I was named after him but the name’s Kermit Jagger! My father is Mick Jagger, my mother is a frog and I’m his offspring, don’t ask."
After a pause the frog continues “Anyways, I want a loan for a lily pad. It’s on a pond near the shops, good neighbourhood and I’d like to get it.”
The teller gets overwhelmed a little "Well you can’t- I don’t know if you can have one. Do you have any collateral for the loan?"
"But of course, I have this" says Kermit and ever so carefully he reached into his pocket and pulled out a tiny ceramic pink elephant; a little shiny pink elephant.
Kermit proclaims “This is my collateral.”
So Patty has a look at it and- her name is Patty, and she says "I don’t think this is much collateral, you know, but I’ll talk to the bank manager about it, you know."
So she goes over to the bank manager and asks, "Mr. Bank manager there’s a frog out there, this Kermit Jagger fellow. Wants a loan but all he has for collateral is this ceramic pink elephant. Do you have any idea as to what this is?"
The bank manager says “Aah, lemme see now.” And he takes a long hard look at the tiny pink elephant.
After a while, the bank manager finally says, "Y'know what this is? This is a knick knack, Patty Whack, so give the frog a loan, his old man’s a Rolling stone!"
East Side by 17
Also Captains, teamsheets to be in by 11:59pm AEDT (11:29pm ACDT, 8:59pm AWST, don't bother asking for Brisbane time).
